QB · Washington Commanders#8
Marcus Mariota
Updated
Marcus Mariota (QB, WAS) props for Week 8 vs Philadelphia Eagles: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8
- Line
- —
- Passing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 0 of 10
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Washington is missing three receivers, which leaves Mariota fewer targets to throw to. Across from him, Philadelphia is missing one linebacker, the players who usually rush the passer.
MariotaNo injury designation
Around himWashington Commanders
7 of 27 touch Mariota
This week
- QuestionableJohn BatesTE · shoulderOne fewer target for him to throw to
- QuestionableTreylon BurksWR · footOne fewer target for him to throw to
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRJacoby JonesWROne fewer target for him to throw to
- IRJacory Croskey-MerrittRB · groinChanges his backfield
- IRJaylin LaneWR · ankleOne fewer target for him to throw to
Show 2 more
- IRLaremy TunsilOTWeakens his protection
- IRTerry McLaurinWR · kneeOne fewer target for him to throw to
Across from himPhiladelphia Eagles
9 of 29 touch Mariota
This week
- OutJihaad CampbellLB · hamstringRushes the passer
- OutJonathan JonesDB · hamstringIn pass coverage
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRAndre' SamSAFIn pass coverage
- IRJakorian BennettDB · kneeIn pass coverage
- IRTucker LargeSAFIn pass coverage
Off the report this week
- ClearedJalyx HuntLB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
- ClearedJonathan GreenardLB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
- ClearedMichael Carter IICB · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
- ClearedNolan SmithLB · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2729ShowHide
WAS · Washington Commanders
27 listed- Javon KinlawDT · ankle, kneeOut
- Charles OmenihuDE · groin, ankleQuestionable
- John BatesTE · shoulderQuestionable
- Treylon BurksWR · footQuestionable
- Jacoby JonesWR · Not specifiedIR
- Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · groinIR
- Javontae Jean-BaptisteLB · pectoralIR
- Jaylin LaneWR · ankleIR
- Jer'Zhan NewtonDT · pectoralIR
- Laremy TunsilOT · Not specifiedIR
- Leo ChenalLB · Not specifiedIR
- Malik SpencerSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Terry McLaurinWR · kneeIR
- Chig OkonkwoTE · Last listed Wk 3: Out (hamstring)—
- Deatrich WiseDE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (quadricep)—
- Frankie LuvuLB · Last listed Wk 3: Out (groin)—
- Jayden DanielsQB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (elbow)—
- Jeremy McNicholsRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (quadricep)—
- Jordan MageeLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Lucas PatrickC · Last listed Wk 6: Q (illness)—
- Nick CrossSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (illness)—
- Percy ButlerSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Rachaad WhiteRB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (shoulder)—
- Sam CosmiOT · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion, throat)—
- Stefon DiggsWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Trey AmosCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Tyler OwensDB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
PHI · Philadelphia Eagles
29 listed- Britain CoveyWR · kneeOut
- DeVonta SmithWR · hamstringOut
- Dontayvion WicksWR · ankleOut
- Jihaad CampbellLB · hamstringOut
- Jonathan JonesDB · hamstringOut
- Andre' SamSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Dameon PierceRB · undisclosedIR
- Jakorian BennettDB · kneeIR
- Jalen HurtsQB · Not specifiedIR
- Johnny WilsonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Tank BigsbyRB · Not specifiedIR
- Tucker LargeSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Will ShipleyRB · Not specifiedIR
- A.J. EpenesaLB · Last listed Wk 6: Doubtful (back)—
- Andrew MukubaSAF · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
- Dallas GoedertTE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—
- Drew KendallC · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Eli StowersTE · Last listed Wk 7: Q (quadricep)Cleared
- Fred JohnsonOT · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—
- Grant CalcaterraTE · Last listed Wk 7: Q (back)Cleared
- Jalyx HuntLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee, ankle)Cleared
- Jonathan GreenardLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Landon DickersonG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee, pectoral)Cleared
- Marcus EppsSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Out (groin)—
- Marquise BrownWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (ankle)—
- Michael Carter IICB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (abdomen)Cleared
- Nolan SmithLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)Cleared
- Saquon BarkleyRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hamstring)Cleared
- Zack BaunLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Passing Yards, last 3
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 1 of 2
- each week's own close
- Median
- 111
- regular season
- Average
- 113.3
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 114.5 | —— | 50%1/2 |
| Last 5 | 139 | —— | 50%2/4 |
| Season | 114.5 | —— | 50%1/2 |
| Last season | 211 | —— | 67%6/9 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 3
- of 3
- Average
- 113.3
- yards
- Median
- 111
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 3
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Passing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ DAL | 111 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs SEA | 183 | 166.5 | +16.5 |
| Week 4 | vs IND | 46 | 203.5 | −157.5 |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Att | Comp | Pass yds | Long | TD | INT | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | vs IND | 4 | 3 | 46 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Wk 3 | vs SEA | 31 | 19 | 183 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| Wk 2 | @ DAL | 16 | 11 | 111 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Comparable players vs Philadelphia
Other quarterbacks who faced Philadelphia this season, and how they did against their line.
quarterbacks went over their line vs Philadelphia
- Dak PrescottDAL · Week 7Line 263.5212Pass ydsUnder 263.5Under−51.5
- Bryce YoungCAR · Week 6Line 236.5281Pass ydsOver 236.5Over+44.5
- Trevor LawrenceJAX · Week 5Line 225.5331Pass ydsOver 225.5Over+105.5
- Matthew StaffordLA · Week 4Line 250.5317Pass ydsOver 250.5Over+66.5
- Case KeenumCHI · Week 3Line 166.5247Pass ydsOver 166.5Over+80.5
- Cam WardTEN · Week 2Line 185.5183Pass ydsUnder 185.5Under−2.5
- Jayden DanielsWAS · Week 1Line 201.5164Pass ydsUnder 201.5Under−37.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Philadelphia Eagles defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the pass
What Philadelphia Eagles actually allows to QBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts facedHow much passing volume this defence sees: the base under every passing prop. | 34.9 | 33.5 | 21st of 32 |
| Passing yards allowedPer game, to quarterbacks. | 247.9 | 235.8 | 24th of 32 |
| Yards per attempt allowedEfficiency conceded, independent of how often the defence is thrown on. | 7.1 | 7.1 | 15th of 32 |
| Completion % allowedCompletions per attempt. | 60% | 64% | 4th of 32 |
| Sack rateSacks per dropback. Sacks remove attempts outright, so they cap a passing line. | 3% | 6% | 32nd of 32 |
| Pressure rateHow often this defence pressured the quarterbacks it faced: the mechanism behind suppressed passing yards. | 16% | 22% | 31st of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 11% | 11% | 16th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QBhis position | 19.5 | 24th of 32 |
| RB | 21.2 | 16th of 32 |
| WR | 40.1 | 31st of 32 |
| TE | 10.5 | 7th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Pass yds |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen2025 · Wk 17 | 262 |
| Jayden Daniels2026 · Wk 1 | 164 |
| Jaxson Dart2025 · Wk 8 | 193 |
| Jared Goff2025 · Wk 11 | 255 |
| Justin Herbert2025 · Wk 14 | 139 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 40.5
- combined
- WAS implied total
- 23.25
- favored
- PHI implied total
- 17.25
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 29.9s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 4 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 54°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 62.8
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 40.2
- 64% pass
- His pass attempts
- 27.4
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 3
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −1.7
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Last listed Wk 6: Out (knee)
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 16%
- Games missed this season
- 2
If Mariota sits
If a quarterback sits, the whole passing game moves down together: every receiver's range drops with the backup.
Next up
Athan KaliakmanisQB
Where his work goes
Every pass catcher's number moves down with the backup, so there is no single winner to show.
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Passing TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Anytime TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Interceptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Completions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass + Rush Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Completion | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the QB's passing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The WR1's receiving yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove together · 760 games+0.5
- The TE1's receiving yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Marcus Mariota's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Marcus Mariota's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Marcus Mariota's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Marcus Mariota's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
