WR · Denver Broncos#13
Pat Bryant
Pat Bryant (WR, DEN) props for Week 8 vs Kansas City Chiefs: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8IR
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 0 of 8
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Denver is missing one tight end, which frees targets. Across from him, Kansas City has two cornerbacks questionable, the players who usually cover receivers.
BryantIR
Around himDenver Broncos
2 of 18 touch Bryant
This week
- QuestionableJaylen WaddleWR · chestFrees targets at his spot
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRCaleb LohnerTEFrees targets
Across from himKansas City Chiefs
2 of 20 touch Bryant
This week
- QuestionableL'Jarius SneedCB · kneeCovers receivers
- QuestionableMansoor DelaneCB · shoulderCovers receivers
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists1820ShowHide
DEN · Denver Broncos
18 listed- Brandon JonesSAF · hamstringQuestionable
- Jaylen WaddleWR · chestQuestionable
- RJ HarveyRB · kneeQuestionable
- Talanoa HufangaSAF · ankleQuestionable
- Zach AllenDE · hamstringQuestionable
- Caleb LohnerTE · Not specifiedIR
- Frank CrumOT · Not specifiedIR
- Jonah EllissLB · ankleIR
- Levelle BaileyLB · Not specifiedIR
- Matt HenningsenDE · Not specifiedIR
- Michael DeiterC · Not specifiedIR
- Nick GargiuloG · Not specifiedIR
- Tyler BadieRB · thumbIR
- Dondrea TillmanLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (hamstring)—
- Jonah ColemanRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Marvin Mims Jr.WR · Last listed Wk 3: Q (foot)—
- Pat Surtain IICB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Riley MossCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ribs)—
KC · Kansas City Chiefs
20 listed- Jaylon MooreOTOut last week
- L'Jarius SneedCB · kneeQuestionable
- Mansoor DelaneCB · shoulderQuestionable
- Travis KelceTE · ankleQuestionable
- Brashard SmithRB · hamstringIR
- C.J. HansonG · Not specifiedIR
- Chris OladokunQB · Not specifiedIR
- EJ SmithRB · Not specifiedIR
- Ethan DownsLB · Not specifiedIR
- Jeff CaldwellWR · Not specifiedIR
- Jimmy HolidayWR · Not specifiedIR
- John Michael GyllenborgTE · Not specifiedIR
- Josh SimmonsOT · Not specifiedIR
- Matt WaletzkoOT · Not specifiedIR
- Omarr Norman-LottDT · knee - aclPUP
- Tyquan ThorntonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Chamarri ConnerDB · Last listed Wk 3: Doubtful (knee)—
- Chris JonesDE · Last listed Wk 2: Q (calf)—
- Cooper McDonaldLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- Rashee RiceWR · Last listed Wk 7: Out (hamstring, knee)Cleared
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 4
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 2 of 4
- each week's own close
- Median
- 43
- regular season
- Average
- 33.3
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 44 | —— | 67%2/3 |
| Last 5 | 42 | —— | 60%3/5 |
| Season | 43 | —— | 50%2/4 |
| Last season | 41 | —— | 100%8/8 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 4
- of 4
- Average
- 33.3
- yards
- Median
- 43
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 4
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ KC | 42 | 42.5 | −0.5 |
| Week 2 | vs JAX | 0 | 32.5 | −32.5 |
| Week 3 | vs LA | 44 | 7.5 | +36.5 |
| Week 4 | @ SF | 47 | 22.5 | +24.5 |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | aDOT | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | @ SF | 3 | 3 | 47 | 30 | — | 0 |
| Wk 3 | vs LA | 2 | 2 | 44 | 39 | — | 1 |
| Wk 2 | vs JAX | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
| Wk 1 | @ KC | 6 | 4 | 42 | 13 | 3.9 | 0 |
Comparable players vs Kansas City
Other wide receivers who faced Kansas City this season, and how they did against their line.
wide receivers went over their line vs Kansas City
- Cooper KuppSEA · Week 7Line 25.520Rec ydsUnder 25.5Under−5.5
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · Week 7Line 92.5150Rec ydsOver 92.5Over+57.5
- Quentin JohnstonLAC · Week 6Line 35.557Rec ydsOver 35.5Over+21.5
- Cody WhiteLV · Week 4Line 10.536Rec ydsOver 10.5Over+25.5
- Tre TuckerLV · Week 4Line 38.544Rec ydsOver 38.5Over+5.5
- Chris BellMIA · Week 3Line 18.567Rec ydsOver 18.5Over+48.5
- Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA · Week 3Line 15.53Rec ydsUnder 15.5Under−12.5
- Malik WashingtonMIA · Week 3Line 38.556Rec ydsOver 38.5Over+17.5
- Josh DownsIND · Week 2Line 42.572Rec ydsOver 42.5Over+29.5
- Keenan AllenIND · Week 2Line 29.55Rec ydsUnder 29.5Under−24.5
- Courtland SuttonDEN · Week 1Line 41.511Rec ydsUnder 41.5Under−30.5
- Jaylen WaddleDEN · Week 1Line 56.52Rec ydsUnder 56.5Under−54.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Kansas City Chiefs defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Kansas City Chiefs actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 17.5 | 18.4 | 14th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 57% | 62% | 5th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 122 | 148.8 | 4th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 7 | 8.1 | 4th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 10.4 | 11.1 | 8th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 4.1 | 4.3 | 14th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 12% | 11% | 22nd of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 12 | 3rd of 32 |
| RB | 19.4 | 9th of 32 |
| WRhis position | 23.9 | 3rd of 32 |
| TE | 18.5 | 28th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| A.J. Brown2025 · Wk 2 | 27 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.2025 · Wk 5 | 80 |
| Malik Nabers2025 · Wk 3 | 13 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown2025 · Wk 6 | 45 |
| Zay Flowers2025 · Wk 4 | 74 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 40.5
- combined
- DEN implied total
- 19.75
- underdog
- KC implied total
- 20.75
- favored
- Projected script
- Close
- tight spread
- Pace
- 30s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 2 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 61°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 56.6
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 33.9
- 60% pass
- His receptions
- 2.2
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 2.7
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −1.7
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Not Specified
- Game status
- Ir
- Snap share, last game
- 36%
- Games missed this season
- 3
If Bryant sits
If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.
Next up
Marvin Mims Jr.WR · 27% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Marvin Mims Jr.WR+1.2targets
- J.K. DobbinsRB+0.7targets
- Jonah ColemanRB+0.5targets
- Troy FranklinWR+0.3targets
Based on 3 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Anytime TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 1st TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Last TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Pat Bryant's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Pat Bryant's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Pat Bryant's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Pat Bryant's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
