RB · Buffalo Bills#7
Ray Davis
Ray Davis (RB, BUF) props research: on bye in Week 7; hit rates, game log, usage and splits, with lines and projections back for Week 8.
On bye in Week 7
Next game: Week 8 vs Baltimore Ravens, Nov 1
- Line
- Bye week
- Rushing Yards
- Projection
- Bye week
- no game this week
- Difference
- Bye week
- Lines checked
- —
- Markets posted
- No game this week
- Projections updated
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Buffalo is without running back Desmond Reid, so more of the backfield work stays with Davis. Across from him, Baltimore is missing one linebacker, the players who usually stop the run.
DavisNo injury designation
Around himBuffalo Bills
2 of 20 touch Davis
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDesmond ReidRBFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
- PUPTyrell ShaversWRFrees targets
Across from himBaltimore Ravens
4 of 27 touch Davis
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRJahquez RobinsonSAFCovers backs downfield
- IRTavius RobinsonLB · pectoralTackles and covers backs
Off the report this week
- ClearedBroderick WashingtonDT · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
- ClearedJaylinn HawkinsSAF · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2027ShowHide
BUF · Buffalo Bills
20 listed- Demetrius Flannigan-FowlesLB · Not specifiedIR
- Desmond ReidRB · Not specifiedIR
- Dorian StrongCB · Not specifiedPUP
- Jordan HancockCB · Not specifiedIR
- Tyrell ShaversWR · Not specifiedPUP
- Zane DurantDT · Not specifiedIR
- C.J. Gardner-JohnsonSAFSuspended
- Sam Franklin Jr.SAFSuspended
- Ar'maj Reed-AdamsGInactive
- Jude BowryOTInactive
- Christian BenfordCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (toe)—
- Cole BishopSAF · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee, groin)—
- DJ MooreWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (shoulder)—
- Dee AlfordCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Ed OliverDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Josh PalmerWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (shoulder)—
- Keon ColemanWR · Last listed Wk 3: Q (ankle)—
- Landon JacksonDE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- T.J. SandersDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (shoulder)—
- Ty JohnsonRB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (hamstring)—
BAL · Baltimore Ravens
27 listed- Adam RandallRB · Not specifiedIR
- Bilhal KoneCB · Not specifiedIR
- Danny PinterG · Not specifiedIR
- Durham SmytheTE · Not specifiedIR
- Ethan PocicC · Not specifiedIR
- Jahquez RobinsonSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Jovaughn GwynC · Not specifiedIR
- Skylar ThompsonQB · Not specifiedIR
- T.J. TampaCB · kneeIR
- Tavius RobinsonLB · pectoralIR
- Andrew VorheesG · Last listed Wk 6: Q (foot)—
- Broderick WashingtonDT · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Cam JurgensG · Last listed Wk 6: Out (concussion)—
- Chris MooreWR · Last listed Wk 4: Q (ankle)—
- Devontez WalkerWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (groin)—
- Emery Jones Jr.OT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Ja'Kobi LaneWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (wrist)—
- Jaylinn HawkinsSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Out (knee)Cleared
- John SimpsonG · Last listed Wk 2: Q (groin)—
- Lamar JacksonQB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)Cleared
- Marlon HumphreyCB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hamstring, calf)—
- Matthew HibnerTE · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hand)—
- Nnamdi MadubuikeDT · Last listed Wk 2: Out (neck)—
- Ronnie StanleyOT · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
- Teddye BuchananLB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee)—
- Trey HendricksonLB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (finger)—
- Zay FlowersWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Rushing Yards, last 5
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 0 of 3
- each week's own close
- Median
- 3
- regular season
- Average
- 2.4
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | —— | 0%0/2 |
| Last 5 | 2 | —— | 0%0/3 |
| Season | 2 | —— | 0%0/3 |
| Last season | 1 | —— | 0%0/5 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 5
- of 6
- Average
- 2.4
- yards
- Median
- 3
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 6
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Rushing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ HOU | 3 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs DET | 0 | 7.5 | −7.5 |
| Week 3 | vs LAC | — | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs NE | 3 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ LA | 2 | 2.5 | −0.5 |
| Week 6 | @ LV | 4 | 9.5 | −5.5 |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Rush yds | YPC | Long | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | @ LV | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Wk 5 | @ LA | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Wk 4 | vs NE | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Wk 3 | vs LAC | — | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Wk 2 | vs DET | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 1 | @ HOU | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Baltimore Ravens defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the run
What Baltimore Ravens actually allows to RBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries facedRushing volume this defence sees. | 20.8 | 21.9 | 12th of 32 |
| Rushing yards allowedPer game, to running backs. | 79.8 | 89.5 | 11th of 32 |
| Yards per carry allowedEfficiency conceded. | 3.8 | 4.1 | 11th of 32 |
| Runs stopped at or behind the lineShare of carries gaining nothing: the floor-killer for a rushing prop. | 20% | 17% | 4th of 32 |
| Runs of 10+ yards allowedShare of carries breaking 10 yards: where a rushing line's ceiling comes from. | 8% | 11% | 7th of 32 |
| Loaded boxes (8+ defenders)Share of carries this defence met with a loaded box. | 23% | 23% | 14th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 14.9 | 9th of 32 |
| RBhis position | 18.5 | 5th of 32 |
| WR | 34.1 | 22nd of 32 |
| TE | 10.5 | 7th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rush yds |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane2025 · Wk 9 | 67 |
| Jonathan Taylor2026 · Wk 1 | 98 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson2025 · Wk 16 | 51 |
| Bijan Robinson2026 · Wk 5 | 86 |
| Javonte Williams2026 · Wk 3 | 98 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 52.5
- combined
- BUF implied total
- 27.75
- favored
- BAL implied total
- 24.75
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 30.4s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- —
- no forecast yet
- Conditions
- Outdoor
- outdoor
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 59
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 33.9
- 57% pass
- Red-zone trips
- 4.5
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −2.1
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 13%
- Games missed this season
- 0
If Davis sits
If a back sits, his carries usually split into two jobs rather than going to one player: early downs and the goal line, and passing downs.
Next up
Ty JohnsonRB · 20% of the snaps
Where his work goes
No teammate stands out to take his work.
Only 1 game without him, too few to measure, so this split is our estimate
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | No game this week | |||||
| Rushing Yards | No game this week | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No game this week | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No game this week | |||||
| Receptions | No game this week | |||||
| Receiving Yards | No game this week | |||||
| 1st TD | No game this week | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No game this week | |||||
| Longest Rush | No game this week | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only, whichever side the projection takes.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
The club is on bye, so there is no line to track this week. The open and every move appear here for its next game.
Moves with this
How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 732 games−0.1
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 732 games−0.1
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 730 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 732 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No game this week, so there are no sportsbook lines.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
