QB · Atlanta Falcons#1
Tua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa (QB, ATL) props for Week 7 vs San Francisco 49ers: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7
- Line
- —
- Passing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 0 of 10
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Atlanta is missing one receiver, which leaves Tagovailoa fewer targets to throw to. Across from him, San Francisco is missing five linebackers and five defensive linemen, the players who usually rush the passer.
TagovailoaNo injury designation
Around himAtlanta Falcons
7 of 26 touch Tagovailoa
This week
- OutBrian RobinsonRB · hamstringChanges his backfield
- OutCameron WilliamsOT · ankleWeakens his protection
- OutMichael JerrellOT · bicepsWeakens his protection
- QuestionableOlamide ZaccheausWR · shoulderOne fewer target for him to throw to
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRBeaux CollinsWR · hipOne fewer target for him to throw to
- PUPStorm NortonOTWeakens his protection
- IRTrey SermonRBChanges his backfield
Across from himSan Francisco 49ers
17 of 38 touch Tagovailoa
This week
- OutGarret WallowLB · hamstringRushes the passer
- OutLuke GiffordLB · groinRushes the passer
- OutMarques SigleSAF · ankleIn pass coverage
- OutNick BosaDE · knee, calfRushes the passer
- QuestionableSiran NealDB · kneeIn pass coverage
- QuestionableUpton StoutCB · shoulderIn pass coverage
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRAlfred CollinsDTRushes the passer
- IRAndrew Farmer IILBRushes the passer
- IRC.J. WestDTRushes the passer
Show 6 more
- IRDarrick ForrestSAFIn pass coverage
- IRMikail KamaraDERushes the passer
- IRNate HobbsCBIn pass coverage
- IRNick MartinLBRushes the passer
- IRSam OkuayinonuDTRushes the passer
- IRVictor DimukejeLBRushes the passer
Off the report this week
- ClearedGracen HaltonDT · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field
- ClearedMykel WilliamsDE · was Q in Wk 6Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2638ShowHide
ATL · Atlanta Falcons
26 listed- Billy Bowman Jr.CB · hamstringOut
- Brian RobinsonRB · hamstringOut
- Cameron WilliamsOT · ankleOut
- Divine DeabloLB · forearmOut
- Michael JerrellOT · bicepsOut
- A.J. TerrellCB · groinQuestionable
- Avieon TerrellCB · backQuestionable
- C.J. HendersonCB · groinQuestionable
- Gervon Dexter Sr.DT · hamstringQuestionable
- Kendal DanielsLB · neckQuestionable
- Olamide ZaccheausWR · shoulderQuestionable
- Samson EbukamDE · hamstringQuestionable
- Za'Darius SmithDE · neckQuestionable
- Anterio ThompsonDT · Not specifiedPUP
- Beaux CollinsWR · hipIR
- Da'Shawn HandDE · Not specifiedIR
- DeAngelo MaloneLB · Not specifiedPUP
- JD BertrandLB · Not specifiedIR
- Jalon WalkerLB · Not specifiedIR
- Storm NortonOT · Not specifiedPUP
- Trey SermonRB · Not specifiedIR
- Yasir AbdullahLB · Not specifiedIR
- James Pearce Jr.DESuspended
- Chris LindstromG · Last listed Wk 2: Q (concussion)—
- Jake MatthewsOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (groin)—
- Michael Penix Jr.QB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee)—
SF · San Francisco 49ers
38 listed- Brandon AiyukWR · Not specifiedOut
- Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · hamstringOut
- Garret WallowLB · hamstringOut
- Luke GiffordLB · groinOut
- Marques SigleSAF · ankleOut
- Mike EvansWR · ribs, achillesOut
- Nick BosaDE · knee, calfOut
- Christian KirkWR · calfQuestionable
- Siran NealDB · kneeQuestionable
- Upton StoutCB · shoulderQuestionable
- Alfred CollinsDT · Not specifiedIR
- Andrew Farmer IILB · Not specifiedIR
- Austen PleasantsOL · Not specifiedIR
- Brett TothG · Not specifiedIR
- C.J. WestDT · Not specifiedIR
- Darrick ForrestSAF · Not specifiedIR
- De'Zhaun StriblingWR · Not specifiedIR
- Demarcus RobinsonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Isaac GuerendoRB · Not specifiedPUP
- Jake TongesTE · Not specifiedIR
- Mikail KamaraDE · Not specifiedIR
- Nate HobbsCB · Not specifiedIR
- Nick MartinLB · Not specifiedIR
- Nick ZakeljOT · Not specifiedIR
- Ricky PearsallWR · Not specifiedIR
- Sam OkuayinonuDT · Not specifiedIR
- Victor DimukejeLB · Not specifiedIR
- Eugene AsanteLBInactive
- Dre GreenlawLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (quadricep)—
- Eddy PineiroK · Last listed Wk 2: Q (illness)—
- Gracen HaltonDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (quadricep)Cleared
- Jaden DuggerLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (shoulder)—
- James Thompson Jr.DT · Last listed Wk 5: Out (ankle)—
- Kaelon BlackRB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (groin)—
- Keion WhiteDE · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
- Kyle JuszczykFB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (knee)—
- Mykel WilliamsDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)Cleared
- Romello HeightDE · Last listed Wk 3: Out (hand)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Passing Yards, last 1
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 34
- regular season
- Average
- 34
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 190 | —— | 50%1/2 |
| Last 5 | 164 | —— | 25%1/4 |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | 175 | —— | 36%5/14 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 1
- of 1
- Average
- 34
- yards
- Median
- 34
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 1
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Passing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 | vs BAL | 34 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Att | Comp | Pass yds | Long | TD | INT | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 5 | vs BAL | 3 | 2 | 34 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Comparable players vs San Francisco
Other quarterbacks who faced San Francisco this season, and how they did against their line.
quarterbacks went over their line vs San Francisco, and 3 went under
- Jayden DanielsWAS · Week 6Line 209.5300Pass ydsOver 209.5Over+90.5
- Sam DarnoldSEA · Week 5Line 231.5195Pass ydsUnder 231.5Under−36.5
- Bo NixDEN · Week 4Line 221.5214Pass ydsUnder 221.5Under−7.5
- Jacoby BrissettARI · Week 3Line 225.5280Pass ydsOver 225.5Over+54.5
- Malik WillisMIA · Week 2Line 180.5197Pass ydsOver 180.5Over+16.5
- Matthew StaffordLA · Week 1Line 261.5155Pass ydsUnder 261.5Under−106.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How San Francisco 49ers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the pass
What San Francisco 49ers actually allows to QBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts facedHow much passing volume this defence sees: the base under every passing prop. | 35.7 | 33.7 | 22nd of 32 |
| Passing yards allowedPer game, to quarterbacks. | 225.7 | 236.1 | 11th of 32 |
| Yards per attempt allowedEfficiency conceded, independent of how often the defence is thrown on. | 6.3 | 7 | 9th of 32 |
| Completion % allowedCompletions per attempt. | 66% | 64% | 23rd of 32 |
| Sack rateSacks per dropback. Sacks remove attempts outright, so they cap a passing line. | 7% | 6% | 18th of 32 |
| Pressure rateHow often this defence pressured the quarterbacks it faced: the mechanism behind suppressed passing yards. | 27% | 23% | 7th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 9% | 11% | 11th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QBhis position | 14.4 | 8th of 32 |
| RB | 23.4 | 23rd of 32 |
| WR | 30.1 | 11th of 32 |
| TE | 9.2 | 4th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Pass yds |
|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett2026 · Wk 3 | 280 |
| Jayden Daniels2026 · Wk 6 | 300 |
| Sam Darnold2026 · Wk 5 | 195 |
| Jaxson Dart2025 · Wk 9 | 191 |
| Trevor Lawrence2025 · Wk 4 | 174 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 50.5
- combined
- ATL implied total
- 24
- underdog
- SF implied total
- 26.5
- favored
- Projected script
- Close
- tight spread
- Pace
- 31.4s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 9 mph
- Clear
- Conditions
- 70°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 59.8
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 32.3
- 54% pass
- His pass attempts
- 24.8
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 2.7
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −7.7
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Last listed Wk 2: Doubtful (oblique)
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 5%
- Games missed this season
- 1
If Tagovailoa sits
If a quarterback sits, the whole passing game moves down together: every receiver's range drops with the backup.
Next up
Andy DaltonQB · 23% of the snaps
Where his work goes
Every pass catcher's number moves down with the backup, so there is no single winner to show.
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Passing TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Anytime TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Interceptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Completions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Pass + Rush Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Completion | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only, whichever side the projection takes.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the QB's passing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The WR1's receiving yardsmove together · 732 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove together · 732 games+0.5
- The TE1's receiving yardsmove together · 730 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 732 games−0.1
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
