nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 2 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Vikings vs Bears Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Soldier Field
Conditions
Outdoor · 68F, 8 mph wind

The game in numbers

  • -5Pass rate over expected
  • 3rdPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Vikings20.523.5+3.0
Bears25.524.7−0.8
Game total46.548.2+1.7

The Vikings carry 79% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

149 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props145

Vikings · Away6 players

RUSHING YARDS
53.5MARKET+14.7WIDE68.2Tank01 projection
Actual 105.0 · final resultRUSH ATTEMPTS
13.5MARKET+1.4MODERATE14.9Tank01 projection
Actual 23.0 · final resultRUSH + REC YARDS
73.5MARKET+8.5In line with market82.0Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 105.0 · final resultRECEPTIONS
2.5MARKET−0.2In line with market2.3Tank01 projection
Actual 0.0 · final resultRECEIVING YARDS
15.5MARKET−1.7In line with market13.8Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 0.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
9.5MARKET+0.9GAP10.4Nuvela
Actual — · final resultLONGEST RUSH
14.5MARKET−0.1GAP14.4Nuvela
Actual 20.0 · final result1ST TD
17%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual — · final resultANYTIME TD
58%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
16%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual — · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 8 players · 23 props

Bears · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
46.5MARKET+1.7GAP48.248.2
Season range 61-96
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
CHI by 4.5MARKET+3.3GAP1.2CHI by 1.2
Season range 17-22

Team props2

Vikings · Away1 market

VikingsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
20.5MARKET+3.0GAP23.5Nuvela
Season range 39-39

Bears · Home1 market

BearsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
25.5MARKET−0.8GAP24.7Nuvela
Season range 59-59