WR · Chicago Bears#13
Zavion Thomas
Updated
Zavion Thomas (WR, CHI) props for Week 8 at Seattle Seahawks: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Seattle Seahawks · Week 8
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 8
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Chicago is without receiver Ray-Ray McCloud, so more of the receiver targets go to Thomas. Across from him, Seattle is missing one cornerback, the players who usually cover receivers.
ThomasNo injury designation
Around himChicago Bears
4 of 30 touch Thomas
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRRay-Ray McCloudWRFrees targets at his spot
- IRCole KmetTE · kneeFrees targets
- IRHayden LargeTEFrees targets
Show 1 more
- IRNikola KalinicTEFrees targets
Across from himSeattle Seahawks
3 of 31 touch Thomas
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRBud ClarkSAFDeep coverage
- IRJulian NealCBCovers receivers
Off the report this week
- ClearedNick EmmanworiSAF · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3031ShowHide
CHI · Chicago Bears
30 listed- Anthony Johnson Jr.SAF · undisclosedOut
- D'Marco JacksonLB · ankleQuestionable
- Jack SanbornLB · concussionQuestionable
- Kyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeQuestionable
- Malik MuhammadCB · toeQuestionable
- Braxton JonesOT · Not specifiedIR
- Brittain BrownRB · Not specifiedIR
- Coby BryantCB · kneeIR
- Cole KmetTE · kneeIR
- Dallis FlowersCB · Not specifiedIR
- Dayo OdeyingboDE · Not specifiedIR
- Dontae ManningCB · Not specifiedIR
- Hayden LargeTE · Not specifiedIR
- Jonathan GarvinDE · Not specifiedIR
- Nephi SewellLB · Not specifiedIR
- Nikola KalinicTE · Not specifiedIR
- Ray-Ray McCloudWR · Not specifiedIR
- Ruben Hyppolite IILB · Not specifiedIR
- Tony Fields IILB · Not specifiedIR
- Caleb WilliamsQB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Cam LewisCB · Last listed Wk 4: Doubtful (hip)—
- Keyshaun ElliottLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (quadricep)—
- Kyler GordonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
- Noah SewellLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (achilles)—
- Ozzy TrapiloOT · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
- Rome OdunzeWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (calf)—
- Shemar TurnerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- T.J. EdwardsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (hamstring)Cleared
- Tyrique StevensonCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
- Tyson BagentQB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion)—
SEA · Seattle Seahawks
31 listed- Chazz SurrattLB · calfQuestionable
- Connor O'TooleLB · hamstringQuestionable
- Drake ThomasLB · ankleQuestionable
- Drew LockQB · elbowQuestionable
- Leonard WilliamsDE · achillesQuestionable
- Patrick O'ConnellLB · toeQuestionable
- Rashid ShaheedWR · kneeQuestionable
- Tyrice KnightLB · hipQuestionable
- Uchenna NwosuLB · hipQuestionable
- Velus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringQuestionable
- Zach CharbonnetRB · kneeQuestionable
- Aaron SmithLB · Not specifiedIR
- Bud ClarkSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Elijah ArroyoTE · Not specifiedIR
- Jadarian PriceRB · chestIR
- Jake BoboWR · Not specifiedIR
- Julian NealCB · Not specifiedIR
- Mason RichmanG · Not specifiedIR
- Robbie OuztsRB · Not specifiedIR
- Jacardia WrightRBPractice squad
- Terrion ArnoldCBInactive
- Anthony BradfordG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee, hip)—
- Brandon PiliDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion, neck)—
- DeMarcus LawrenceLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- George HolaniRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ribs, knee)—
- Irvin CharlesWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- Julian LoveSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
- Nick EmmanworiSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
- Sam DarnoldQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (glute)—
- Tory HortonWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hamstring)—
- Ty OkadaSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 6
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 0.5
- regular season
- Average
- 6.2
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 6
- of 6
- Average
- 6.2
- yards
- Median
- 0.5
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 6
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs MIN | 0 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs PHI | 1 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs NYJ | 0 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ GB | 11 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ ATL | 25 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs NE | 0 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | aDOT | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | vs NE | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
| Wk 6 | @ ATL | 3 | 3 | 25 | 14 | — | 0 |
| Wk 5 | @ GB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | — | 0 |
| Wk 4 | vs NYJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
| Wk 3 | vs PHI | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 0 |
| Wk 2 | vs MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 |
| Wk 1 | @ CAR | DNP | |||||
Comparable players vs Seattle
Other wide receivers who faced Seattle this season, and how they did against their line.
wide receivers went under their line vs Seattle
- Andrew ArmstrongKC · Week 7Line 11.53Rec ydsUnder 11.5Under−8.5
- Jalen RoyalsKC · Week 7Line 21.50Rec ydsUnder 21.5Under−21.5
- Xavier WorthyKC · Week 7Line 49.511Rec ydsUnder 49.5Under−38.5
- Courtland SuttonDEN · Week 6Line 32.519Rec ydsUnder 32.5Under−13.5
- Jaylen WaddleDEN · Week 6Line 47.524Rec ydsUnder 47.5Under−23.5
- Troy FranklinDEN · Week 6Line 17.52Rec ydsUnder 17.5Under−15.5
- Mike EvansSF · Week 5Line 51.5113Rec ydsOver 51.5Over+61.5
- Quentin JohnstonLAC · Week 4Line 34.544Rec ydsOver 34.5Over+9.5
- Tre HarrisLAC · Week 4Line 36.560Rec ydsOver 36.5Over+23.5
- Stefon DiggsWAS · Week 3Line 34.533Rec ydsUnder 34.5Under−1.5
- Terry McLaurinWAS · Week 3Line 41.577Rec ydsOver 41.5Over+35.5
- Kendrick BourneARI · Week 2Line 24.511Rec ydsUnder 24.5Under−13.5
- Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI · Week 2Line 36.50Rec ydsUnder 36.5Under−36.5
- Michael WilsonARI · Week 2Line 37.518Rec ydsUnder 37.5Under−19.5
- DeMario DouglasNE · Week 1Line 20.520Rec ydsUnder 20.5Under−0.5
- Mack HollinsNE · Week 1Line 10.551Rec ydsOver 10.5Over+40.5
- Romeo DoubsNE · Week 1Line 37.50Rec ydsUnder 37.5Under−37.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Seattle Seahawks defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Seattle Seahawks actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 15.7 | 18.4 | 5th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 56% | 62% | 3rd of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 91.7 | 148.8 | 1st of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 5.8 | 8.1 | 1st of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 9.9 | 11.1 | 6th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 3.5 | 4.3 | 6th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 9% | 11% | 11th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 10.4 | 2nd of 32 |
| RB | 20.9 | 15th of 32 |
| WRhis position | 21.5 | 1st of 32 |
| TE | 9.9 | 3rd of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Alec Pierce2025 · Wk 15 | 16 |
| Justin Jefferson2025 · Wk 13 | 4 |
| David Sills2025 · Wk 14 | 0 |
| Michael Wilson2026 · Wk 2 | 18 |
| Tre Harris2026 · Wk 4 | 60 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 46.5
- combined
- CHI implied total
- 21.75
- underdog
- SEA implied total
- 24.75
- favored
- Projected script
- Neutral/Trail
- underdog
- Pace
- 30.6s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 2 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 50°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 71
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 39.9
- 56% pass
- His receptions
- 1
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 4.3
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −0.3
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 7%
- Games missed this season
- 1
If Thomas sits
If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.
Next up
Jahdae WalkerWR · 9% of the snaps
Where his work goes
No teammate stands out to take his work.
Only 1 game without him, too few to measure, so this split is our estimate
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 7% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 6% | +1% |
| 1st TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 2% | level |
| Last TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 2% | level |
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
- The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Zavion Thomas's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Zavion Thomas's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Zavion Thomas's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Zavion Thomas's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
