Where do Roschon Johnson's prop lines come from?

From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Roschon Johnson's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.

How is Roschon Johnson's projection made?

The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Roschon Johnson's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.

Is this betting advice?

No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.

RB · Chicago Bears#23

Roschon Johnson

Updated Oct 30, 4:59 AM PT

Roschon Johnson (RB, CHI) props for Week 8 at Seattle Seahawks: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

@ Seattle Seahawks · Week 8

Line: —; Rushing Yards
Projection: —; No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference: —

Lines checked: Oct 30, 2:08 PM PT
Markets posted: 3 of 10
Projections updated: Oct 30, 2:09 PM PT

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Chicago is without running back Brittain Brown, so more of the backfield work stays with Johnson. Across from him, Seattle is missing one linebacker, the players who usually stop the run.

JohnsonNo injury designation

Around himChicago Bears

8 of 31 touch Johnson

This week

QuestionableColston LovelandTE · neckFrees targets
QuestionableKyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeFrees carries and catches out of the backfield

Out long term · already in his recent games

IRBrittain BrownRBFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
IRBraxton JonesOTWeakens his run blocking
IRCole KmetTE · kneeFrees targets

Show 3 more

IRHayden LargeTEFrees targets
IRNikola KalinicTEFrees targets
IRRay-Ray McCloudWRFrees targets

Across from himSeattle Seahawks

11 of 31 touch Johnson

This week

QuestionableChazz SurrattLB · calfTackles and covers backs
QuestionableConnor O'TooleLB · hamstringTackles and covers backs
QuestionableDrake ThomasLB · ankleTackles and covers backs
QuestionableLeonard WilliamsDE · achillesDefends the run
QuestionablePatrick O'ConnellLB · toeTackles and covers backs
QuestionableTyrice KnightLB · hipTackles and covers backs
QuestionableUchenna NwosuLB · hipTackles and covers backs

Out long term · already in his recent games

IRAaron SmithLBTackles and covers backs
IRBud ClarkSAFCovers backs downfield

Off the report this week

ClearedDeMarcus LawrenceLB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
ClearedNick EmmanworiSAF · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field

Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3131Show

CHI · Chicago Bears

31 listed

Colston LovelandTE · neckQuestionable
D'Marco JacksonLB · ankleQuestionable
Jack SanbornLB · concussionQuestionable
Kyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeQuestionable
Malik MuhammadCB · toeQuestionable
Anthony Johnson Jr.SAF · undisclosedIR
Braxton JonesOT · Not specifiedIR
Brittain BrownRB · Not specifiedIR
Coby BryantCB · kneeIR
Cole KmetTE · kneeIR
Dallis FlowersCB · Not specifiedIR
Dayo OdeyingboDE · Not specifiedIR
Dontae ManningCB · Not specifiedIR
Hayden LargeTE · Not specifiedIR
Jonathan GarvinDE · Not specifiedIR
Nephi SewellLB · Not specifiedIR
Nikola KalinicTE · Not specifiedIR
Ray-Ray McCloudWR · Not specifiedIR
Ruben Hyppolite IILB · Not specifiedIR
Tony Fields IILB · Not specifiedIR
Caleb WilliamsQB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
Cam LewisCB · Last listed Wk 4: Doubtful (hip)—
Keyshaun ElliottLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (quadricep)—
Kyler GordonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
Noah SewellLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (achilles)—
Ozzy TrapiloOT · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
Rome OdunzeWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (calf)—
Shemar TurnerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
T.J. EdwardsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (hamstring)Cleared
Tyrique StevensonCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
Tyson BagentQB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion)—

SEA · Seattle Seahawks

31 listed

Chazz SurrattLB · calfQuestionable
Connor O'TooleLB · hamstringQuestionable
Drake ThomasLB · ankleQuestionable
Drew LockQB · elbowQuestionable
Leonard WilliamsDE · achillesQuestionable
Patrick O'ConnellLB · toeQuestionable
Rashid ShaheedWR · kneeQuestionable
Tyrice KnightLB · hipQuestionable
Uchenna NwosuLB · hipQuestionable
Velus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringQuestionable
Zach CharbonnetRB · kneeQuestionable
Aaron SmithLB · Not specifiedIR
Bud ClarkSAF · Not specifiedIR
Elijah ArroyoTE · Not specifiedIR
Jadarian PriceRB · chestIR
Jake BoboWR · Not specifiedIR
Julian NealCB · Not specifiedIR
Mason RichmanG · Not specifiedIR
Robbie OuztsRB · Not specifiedIR
Jacardia WrightRBPractice squad
Terrion ArnoldCBInactive
Anthony BradfordG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee, hip)—
Brandon PiliDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion, neck)—
DeMarcus LawrenceLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
George HolaniRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ribs, knee)—
Irvin CharlesWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
Julian LoveSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
Nick EmmanworiSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
Sam DarnoldQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (glute)—
Tory HortonWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hamstring)—
Ty OkadaSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

In this groupForm vs line Distribution Splits Game log

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Rushing Yards, last 4

against the posted line

—W2

—DNP

NYJ

at GB

at ATL

Cleared the lineUnder the line

Consensus line: —; yards
Projection: —
Above the line: —
vs closing lines: 1 of 3; each week's own close
Median: 14.5; regular season
Average: 21.5

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

Window	Median	Above % · vs current line	Above % · vs closing line
Last 3	13	——	33%1/3
Last 5	13	——	33%1/3
Season	13	——	33%1/3
Last season	—	——	——

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

4 of 5 games

Venue

Game state

Opponent defense

Games: 4; of 5
Average: 21.5; yards
Median: 14.5; yards
Above the line: —
vs the full 5: 0.0; yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

Week	Opponent	Rushing Yards	Line that week	Against it
Week 2	vs MIN	—	—	—
Week 4	vs NYJ	16	—	—
Week 5	@ GB	6	21.5	−15.5
Week 6	@ ATL	51	20.5	+30.5
Week 7	vs NE	13	26.5	−13.5

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

5 played · 2 DNP

Week	Opponent	Carries	Rush yds	YPC	Long	Rec	TD
Wk 7	vs NE	2	13	6.5	9	0	0
Wk 6	@ ATL	13	51	3.9	10	2	1
Wk 5	@ GB	5	6	1.2	3	5	0
Wk 4	vs NYJ	4	16	4	11	1	0
Wk 3	vs PHI	DNP
Wk 2	vs MIN	—	—	—	—	—	0
Wk 1	@ CAR	DNP

Comparable players vs Seattle

6 of 9

running backs went under their line vs Seattle

Kenneth Walker IIIKC · Week 7Line 79.536Rush ydsUnder 79.5Under−43.5
J.K. DobbinsDEN · Week 6Line 47.541Rush ydsUnder 47.5Under−6.5
RJ HarveyDEN · Week 6Line 14.525Rush ydsOver 14.5Over+10.5
Christian McCaffreySF · Week 5Line 49.568Rush ydsOver 49.5Over+18.5
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · Week 3Line 38.536Rush ydsUnder 38.5Under−2.5
Rachaad WhiteWAS · Week 3Line 19.535Rush ydsOver 19.5Over+15.5
Jeremiyah LoveARI · Week 2Line 36.529Rush ydsUnder 36.5Under−7.5
Tyler AllgeierARI · Week 2Line 34.510Rush ydsUnder 34.5Under−24.5
Rhamondre StevensonNE · Week 1Line 58.551Rush ydsUnder 58.5Under−7.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

In this groupOpponent Similar players Game context

Opponent defense

How Seattle Seahawks defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles the run

What Seattle Seahawks actually allows to RBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

Measure	Allowed	League avg	Rank
Carries facedRushing volume this defence sees.	20.9	22.1	12th of 32
Rushing yards allowedPer game, to running backs.	71	91.1	3rd of 32
Yards per carry allowedEfficiency conceded.	3.4	4.1	3rd of 32
Runs stopped at or behind the lineShare of carries gaining nothing: the floor-killer for a rushing prop.	21%	17%	6th of 32
Runs of 10+ yards allowedShare of carries breaking 10 yards: where a rushing line's ceiling comes from.	7%	11%	3rd of 32
Loaded boxes (8+ defenders)Share of carries this defence met with a loaded box.	6%	23%	32nd of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed

Position	FP allowed / g	Rank1 = toughest
QB	10.4	2nd of 32
RBhis position	20.9	15th of 32
WR	21.5	1st of 32
TE	9.9	3rd of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense

Player	Rush yds
Rhamondre Stevenson2026 · Wk 1	51
Jonathan Taylor2025 · Wk 15	87
Christian McCaffrey2026 · Wk 5	68
Alvin Kamara2025 · Wk 3	42
Kenneth Walker III2026 · Wk 7	36

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total: 46.5; combined
CHI implied total: 21.75; underdog
SEA implied total: 24.75; favored
Projected script: Neutral/Trail; underdog
Pace: 30.6s; seconds / play
Wind: 2 mph; Clouds
Conditions: 50°F; outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates

Offensive play count: 71; 7-game avg
Dropbacks: 39.9; 56% pass
His carries: 6.7; projected this game
Red-zone trips: 4.3; 7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp: −0.3; PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

In this groupUsage Availability Injuries

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date

Snap share21%

Of the offence's snaps

Route %61%

Of the team's dropbacks

Carry share10%

Of the team's rush attempts

RZ touches / g1.8

Touches inside the opponent's 20, per game

Goal-line carry share8%

Of the team's carries inside the 5

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported

Injury: None reported
Game status: No designation
Snap share, last game: 14%
Games missed this season: 2

If Johnson sits

If a back sits, his carries usually split into two jobs rather than going to one player: early downs and the goal line, and passing downs.

Next up

Kyle MonangaiRB · 43% of the snaps

Where his work goes

D'Andre SwiftRB+2.5carries

Based on 3 games without him

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarkets Odds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 7 waiting on a book

Market	Line	Projection	Diff	Cleared L5	Opened	Since open
Anytime TD	26%	Market only	—	1 of 5 incl. 2025	25%	+1%
1st TD	5%	Market only	—	0 of 5 incl. 2025	5%	level
Last TD	6%	Market only	—	0 of 5 incl. 2025	6%	level
Rushing Yards	No line posted yet
Rush Attempts	No line posted yet
Rush + Rec Yards	No line posted yet
Receptions	No line posted yet
Receiving Yards	No line posted yet
2+ TDs	No line posted yet
Longest Rush	No line posted yet

What these figures mean

Cleared L5: How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open: How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Roschon Johnson's prop lines come from?: From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Roschon Johnson's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Roschon Johnson's projection made?: The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Roschon Johnson's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?: No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.