nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 1 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Saints vs Lions Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Sep 13 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Ford Field
Conditions
Indoor · dome

The game in numbers

  • —Pass rate over expected
  • —Pace rank, slate
  • DomeConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Saints20.520.9+0.4
Lions28.526.2−2.3
Game total49.547.1−2.4

The Lions carry 85% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

132 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props128

Saints · Away6 players

RECEIVING YARDS
76.5MARKET−17.7WIDE58.8Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 182.0 · final resultRECEPTIONS
6.5MARKET−0.7GAP5.8Tank01 projection
Actual 10.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
24.5MARKET−3.1MODERATE21.4Nuvela
Actual 47.0 · final result1ST TD
8%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
40%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
11%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

Lions · Home6 players

Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
49.5MARKET−2.4GAP47.147.1
No season history yet
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
DET by 7.0MARKET+1.6GAP5.4DET by 5.4
No season history yet

Team props2

Saints · Away1 market

SaintsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
20.5MARKET+0.4GAP20.9Nuvela
No season history yet

Lions · Home1 market

LionsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
28.5MARKET−2.3GAP26.2Nuvela
No season history yet