nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 6 · THURSDAY · FINAL

Seahawks vs Broncos Player Props

Kickoff
Thu, Oct 15 · 5:15 PM PT
Venue
Empower Field at Mile High
Conditions
Outdoor

The game in numbers

  • -3.8Pass rate over expected
  • 14thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Seahawks21.523.4+1.9
Broncos19.521.3+1.8
Game total40.544.7+4.2

The two sides carry the disagreement roughly evenly, so this is a read on the game rather than on either offence.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

173 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props169

Seahawks · Away9 players

RECEPTIONS
2.5MARKET+0.7GAP3.2Tank01 projection
Actual 3.0 · final resultRECEIVING YARDS
27.5MARKET+5.1In line with market32.6Tank01 projection
Actual 16.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
12.5MARKET−2.3WIDE10.2Nuvela
Actual 11.0 · final result1ST TD
7%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
26%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
8%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 18 props

Broncos · Home9 players

Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
40.5MARKET+4.2GAP44.744.7
Season range 23-64
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
SEA by 2.5MARKET+0.4GAP2.1SEA by 2.1
Season range 2-24

Team props2

Seahawks · Away1 market

SeahawksTEAM TOTAL POINTS
21.5MARKET+1.9GAP23.4Nuvela
Season range 13-31

Broncos · Home1 market

BroncosTEAM TOTAL POINTS
19.5MARKET+1.8GAP21.3Nuvela
Season range 10-30