RB · Denver Broncos#28
Tyler Badie
Tyler Badie (RB, DEN) props for Week 8 vs Kansas City Chiefs: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8IR
- Line
- —
- Rushing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 0 of 9
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Denver is without running back RJ Harvey, so more of the backfield work stays with Badie. Across from him, Kansas City is missing one linebacker and one defensive lineman, the players who usually stop the run.
BadieIR · thumb
Around himDenver Broncos
8 of 18 touch Badie
This week
- OutRJ HarveyRB · kneeFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
- QuestionableJaylen WaddleWR · chestFrees targets
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRCaleb LohnerTEFrees targets
- IRFrank CrumOTWeakens his run blocking
- IRMichael DeiterCWeakens his run blocking
Show 2 more
- IRNick GargiuloGWeakens his run blocking
- IRPat BryantWRFrees targets
Off the report this week
- ClearedJonah ColemanRB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Across from himKansas City Chiefs
4 of 20 touch Badie
This week
- QuestionableR Mason ThomasDE · personalDefends the run
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IREthan DownsLBTackles and covers backs
- PUPOmarr Norman-LottDT · knee - aclDefends the run
Off the report this week
- ClearedCooper McDonaldLB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists1820ShowHide
DEN · Denver Broncos
18 listed- RJ HarveyRB · kneeOut
- Talanoa HufangaSAF · ankleOut
- Brandon JonesSAF · hamstringQuestionable
- Jaylen WaddleWR · chestQuestionable
- Zach AllenDE · hamstringQuestionable
- Caleb LohnerTE · Not specifiedIR
- Frank CrumOT · Not specifiedIR
- Jonah EllissLB · ankleIR
- Levelle BaileyLB · Not specifiedIR
- Matt HenningsenDE · Not specifiedIR
- Michael DeiterC · Not specifiedIR
- Nick GargiuloG · Not specifiedIR
- Pat BryantWR · Not specifiedIR
- Dondrea TillmanLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (hamstring)—
- Jonah ColemanRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Marvin Mims Jr.WR · Last listed Wk 3: Q (foot)—
- Pat Surtain IICB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Riley MossCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ribs)—
KC · Kansas City Chiefs
20 listed- Jaylon MooreOTOut last week
- L'Jarius SneedCB · kneeQuestionable
- Mansoor DelaneCB · shoulderQuestionable
- R Mason ThomasDE · personalQuestionable
- Brashard SmithRB · hamstringIR
- C.J. HansonG · Not specifiedIR
- Chris OladokunQB · Not specifiedIR
- EJ SmithRB · Not specifiedIR
- Ethan DownsLB · Not specifiedIR
- Jeff CaldwellWR · Not specifiedIR
- Jimmy HolidayWR · Not specifiedIR
- John Michael GyllenborgTE · Not specifiedIR
- Josh SimmonsOT · Not specifiedIR
- Matt WaletzkoOT · Not specifiedIR
- Omarr Norman-LottDT · knee - aclPUP
- Tyquan ThorntonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Chamarri ConnerDB · Last listed Wk 3: Doubtful (knee)—
- Chris JonesDE · Last listed Wk 2: Q (calf)—
- Cooper McDonaldLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- Rashee RiceWR · Last listed Wk 7: Out (hamstring, knee)Cleared
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Rushing Yards, last 5
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 6
- regular season
- Average
- 4.4
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 5
- of 5
- Average
- 4.4
- yards
- Median
- 6
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 5
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Rushing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs JAX | 1 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs LA | 2 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ SF | 7 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ LAC | 6 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs SEA | 6 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Rush yds | YPC | Long | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs SEA | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 5 | @ LAC | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Wk 4 | @ SF | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Wk 3 | vs LA | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Wk 2 | vs JAX | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Comparable players vs Kansas City
Other running backs who faced Kansas City this season, and how they did against their line.
running backs went over their line vs Kansas City
- Emanuel WilsonSEA · Week 7Line 51.5100Rush ydsOver 51.5Over+48.5
- Omarion HamptonLAC · Week 6Line 33.518Rush ydsUnder 33.5Under−15.5
- Ashton JeantyLV · Week 4Line 58.558Rush ydsUnder 58.5Under−0.5
- Ollie Gordon IIMIA · Week 3Line 9.541Rush ydsOver 9.5Over+31.5
- Jonathan TaylorIND · Week 2Line 80.592Rush ydsOver 80.5Over+11.5
- J.K. DobbinsDEN · Week 1Line 49.536Rush ydsUnder 49.5Under−13.5
- RJ HarveyDEN · Week 1Line 17.518Rush ydsOver 17.5Over+0.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Kansas City Chiefs defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the run
What Kansas City Chiefs actually allows to RBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries facedRushing volume this defence sees. | 21.8 | 22.1 | 14th of 32 |
| Rushing yards allowedPer game, to running backs. | 73.7 | 91.1 | 5th of 32 |
| Yards per carry allowedEfficiency conceded. | 3.4 | 4.1 | 2nd of 32 |
| Runs stopped at or behind the lineShare of carries gaining nothing: the floor-killer for a rushing prop. | 18% | 17% | 13th of 32 |
| Runs of 10+ yards allowedShare of carries breaking 10 yards: where a rushing line's ceiling comes from. | 8% | 11% | 7th of 32 |
| Loaded boxes (8+ defenders)Share of carries this defence met with a loaded box. | 14% | 23% | 28th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 12 | 3rd of 32 |
| RBhis position | 19.4 | 9th of 32 |
| WR | 23.9 | 3rd of 32 |
| TE | 18.5 | 28th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rush yds |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor2026 · Wk 2 | 92 |
| Woody Marks2025 · Wk 14 | 68 |
| Ollie Gordon II2026 · Wk 3 | 41 |
| Saquon Barkley2025 · Wk 2 | 88 |
| Javonte Williams2025 · Wk 13 | 59 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 40.5
- combined
- DEN implied total
- 19.75
- underdog
- KC implied total
- 20.75
- favored
- Projected script
- Close
- tight spread
- Pace
- 30s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 2 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 61°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 56.6
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 33.9
- 60% pass
- His carries
- 1.2
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 2.7
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −1.7
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Thumb
- Game status
- Ir
- Snap share, last game
- 7%
- Games missed this season
- 1
If Badie sits
If a back sits, his carries usually split into two jobs rather than going to one player: early downs and the goal line, and passing downs.
Next up
Jonah ColemanRB · 25% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- RJ HarveyRB+0.5carries
Based on 2 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| 1st TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Rush | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Tyler Badie's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Tyler Badie's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Tyler Badie's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Tyler Badie's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
