nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 1 · THURSDAY · NEUTRAL SITE · FINAL

49ers vs Rams Player Props

Kickoff
Thu, Sep 10 · 5:35 PM PT
Venue
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Conditions
Outdoor · 57F, 4 mph wind

The game in numbers

  • —Pass rate over expected
  • —Pace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
49ers21.525.1+3.6
Rams26.527.3+0.8
Game total47.552.3+4.8

The 49ers carry 82% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

164 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props160

49ers · Away8 players

RECEIVING YARDS
39.5MARKET−8.2WIDE31.3Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 20.0 · final resultRUSH ATTEMPTS
15.5MARKET+1.5MODERATE17.0Tank01 projection
Actual 10.0 · final resultRUSHING YARDS
59.5MARKET+6.5In line with market66.0Tank01 projection
Actual 68.0 · final resultRUSH + REC YARDS
105.5MARKET−8.2In line with market97.3Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 88.0 · final resultRECEPTIONS
4.5MARKET+0.2In line with market4.7Tank01 projection
Actual 5.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
16.5MARKET−1.4MODERATE15.1Nuvela
Actual 8.0 · final resultLONGEST RUSH
13.5MARKET−1.3MODERATE12.2Nuvela
Actual 16.0 · final result1ST TD
17%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
61%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
17%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Rams · Home9 players

Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
47.5MARKET+4.8GAP52.352.3
No season history yet
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
LA by 3.5MARKET+1.3GAP2.2LA by 2.2
No season history yet

Team props2

49ers · Away1 market

49ersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
21.5MARKET+3.6GAP25.1Nuvela
No season history yet

Rams · Home1 market

RamsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
26.5MARKET+0.8GAP27.3Nuvela
No season history yet