TE · Los Angeles Rams#18
Terrance Ferguson
Terrance Ferguson (TE, LA) props for Week 8 vs Los Angeles Chargers: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 8 · DomeIR
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 0 of 7
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Los Angeles Rams is without quarterback Matthew Caldwell, which changes who throws to Ferguson. Across from him, Los Angeles Chargers is missing one safety and one linebacker, the players who usually cover tight ends.
FergusonIR · ankle
Around himLos Angeles Rams
5 of 22 touch Ferguson
This week
- QuestionableColby ParkinsonTE · ribsLeaves the tight end targets to him
- QuestionableJordan WhittingtonWR · backFrees targets
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDavante AdamsWR · hamstringFrees targets
- IRMatthew CaldwellQBChanges who throws to him
Off the report this week
- ClearedPuka NacuaWR · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Across from himLos Angeles Chargers
5 of 31 touch Ferguson
This week
- OutDeane LeonardCB · concussionIn pass coverage
- OutDerwin JamesFS · hamstringCovers tight ends
- QuestionableDonte JacksonCB · hamstringIn pass coverage
- QuestionableRodney ShelleyDB · hamstringCovers tight ends
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDenzel PerrymanMLBCovers tight ends
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2231ShowHide
LA · Los Angeles Rams
22 listed- Colby ParkinsonTE · ribsQuestionable
- Jordan WhittingtonWR · backQuestionable
- Trent McDuffieCB · groinQuestionable
- Blake GrupeK · Not specifiedIR
- Daniel RickertLB · Not specifiedIR
- Davante AdamsWR · hamstringIR
- Eddie Walls IIILB · Not specifiedIR
- Justin DedichOL · Not specifiedIR
- Kobie TurnerDE · Not specifiedIR
- Matthew CaldwellQB · Not specifiedIR
- Myles GarrettLB · kneeIR
- Poona FordDT · Not specifiedIR
- Ronnie RiversRB · Not specifiedIR
- Zech McPhearsonCB · Not specifiedIR
- Aaron DonaldDE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (back)—
- Jaylen WatsonCB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (shoulder)—
- Josaiah StewartLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (groin)—
- Kam CurlSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Kamren KinchensSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Doubtful (hamstring)—
- Nate LandmanLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)Cleared
- Puka NacuaWR · Last listed Wk 7: Q (calf)Cleared
- Quentin LakeSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hip)—
LAC · Los Angeles Chargers
31 listed- Brenen ThompsonWR · quadricepOut
- Deane LeonardCB · concussionOut
- Derwin JamesFS · hamstringOut
- Joe AltOTOut last week
- Kayode AwosikaGOut last week
- Donte JacksonCB · hamstringQuestionable
- Rodney ShelleyDB · hamstringQuestionable
- Alec IngoldFB · Not specifiedIR
- Dalevon CampbellWR · Not specifiedIR
- David NjokuTE · Not specifiedIR
- Denzel PerrymanMLB · undisclosedIR
- Isaiah WorldOT · Not specifiedIR
- Rashawn SlaterOT · Not specifiedIR
- Sincere BrownWR · Not specifiedIR
- Trevor PenningOT · Not specifiedIR
- Trey LanceQB · Not specifiedIR
- Trey PipkinsOT · Not specifiedIR
- Tyler BiadaszC · Not specifiedIR
- Branson TaylorOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (neck)—
- Bud DupreeOLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q—
- Charlie KolarTE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (forearm)—
- Daiyan HenleyLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Dalvin TomlinsonDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Elijah MoldenCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
- Jamaree CaldwellDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Ladd McConkeyWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
- Quentin JohnstonWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (chest)—
- Scott MatlockRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
- Tre HarrisWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
- Tuli TuipulotuLB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hip)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 3
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 1 of 3
- each week's own close
- Median
- 9
- regular season
- Average
- 21
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 9 | —— | 33%1/3 |
| Last 5 | 33 | —— | 60%3/5 |
| Season | 9 | —— | 33%1/3 |
| Last season | 19 | —— | 50%4/8 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 3
- of 3
- Average
- 21
- yards
- Median
- 9
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 3
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs SF | 0 | 24.5 | −24.5 |
| Week 2 | vs NYG | 54 | 33.5 | +20.5 |
| Week 3 | @ DEN | 9 | 50.5 | −41.5 |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Snap% | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | @ DEN | 26% | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| Wk 2 | vs NYG | 58% | 9 | 6 | 54 | 20 | 1 |
| Wk 1 | vs SF | 51% | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
Comparable players vs LA Chargers
Other tight ends who faced LA Chargers this season, and how they did against their line.
tight ends went under their line vs LA Chargers
- Noah GrayKC · Week 6Line 14.553Rec ydsOver 14.5Over+38.5
- Travis KelceKC · Week 6Line 52.553Rec ydsOver 52.5Over+0.5
- AJ BarnerSEA · Week 4Line 30.512Rec ydsUnder 30.5Under−18.5
- Dalton KincaidBUF · Week 3Line 57.538Rec ydsUnder 57.5Under−19.5
- Dawson KnoxBUF · Week 3Line 9.55Rec ydsUnder 9.5Under−4.5
- Michael MayerLV · Week 2Line 44.523Rec ydsUnder 44.5Under−21.5
- Trey McBrideARI · Week 1Line 56.595Rec ydsOver 56.5Over+38.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Los Angeles Chargers defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Los Angeles Chargers actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 6.3 | 7.6 | 7th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 74% | 72% | 21st of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 57.5 | 54.5 | 20th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 9.1 | 7.1 | 30th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 7.5 | 6.1 | 30th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 6.4 | 4.9 | 29th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 8% | 11% | 5th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 14.3 | 7th of 32 |
| RB | 23.5 | 24th of 32 |
| WR | 30.4 | 13th of 32 |
| TEhis position | 11.1 | 10th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Brock Bowers2025 · Wk 13 | 63 |
| Dallas Goedert2025 · Wk 14 | 78 |
| Tyler Warren2025 · Wk 7 | 69 |
| AJ Barner2026 · Wk 4 | 12 |
| Michael Mayer2026 · Wk 2 | 23 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 45
- combined
- LA implied total
- 25.75
- favored
- LAC implied total
- 19.25
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 29.8s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- Indoors
- no wind factor
- Conditions
- Dome
- climate controlled
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 67
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 41.5
- 62% pass
- His receptions
- 2.3
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 4.1
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −0.5
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Ankle
- Game status
- Ir
- Snap share, last game
- 26%
- Games missed this season
- 4
If Ferguson sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Colby ParkinsonTE · 66% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Kyren WilliamsRB+3.2targets
- Colby ParkinsonTE+3targets
- Blake CorumRB+0.6targets
- Davis AllenTE+0.6targets
Based on 4 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Anytime TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 1st TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| Last TD | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Terrance Ferguson's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Terrance Ferguson's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Terrance Ferguson's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Terrance Ferguson's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
