RB · Kansas City Chiefs#34
Jaydn Ott
Jaydn Ott (RB, KC) props for Week 8 at Denver Broncos: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Denver Broncos · Week 8
- Line
- —
- Rushing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 10
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Kansas City is without two other running backs, so more of the backfield work stays with Ott. Across from him, Denver is missing two linebackers and one defensive lineman, the players who usually stop the run.
OttNo injury designation
Around himKansas City Chiefs
11 of 20 touch Ott
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRBrashard SmithRB · hamstringFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
- IREJ SmithRBFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
- IRC.J. HansonGWeakens his run blocking
Show 7 more
- IRChris OladokunQBChanges who throws to him
- IRJeff CaldwellWRFrees targets
- IRJimmy HolidayWRFrees targets
- IRJohn Michael GyllenborgTEFrees targets
- IRJosh SimmonsOTWeakens his run blocking
- IRMatt WaletzkoOTWeakens his run blocking
- IRTyquan ThorntonWRFrees targets
Off the report this week
- ClearedRashee RiceWR · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Across from himDenver Broncos
6 of 19 touch Ott
This week
- OutTalanoa HufangaSAF · ankleCovers backs downfield
- QuestionableBrandon JonesSAF · hamstringCovers backs downfield
- QuestionableZach AllenDE · hamstringDefends the run
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRJonah EllissLB · ankleTackles and covers backs
- IRLevelle BaileyLBTackles and covers backs
- IRMatt HenningsenDEDefends the run
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2019ShowHide
KC · Kansas City Chiefs
20 listed- Jaylon MooreOTOut last week
- L'Jarius SneedCB · kneeQuestionable
- Mansoor DelaneCB · shoulderQuestionable
- R Mason ThomasDE · personalQuestionable
- Brashard SmithRB · hamstringIR
- C.J. HansonG · Not specifiedIR
- Chris OladokunQB · Not specifiedIR
- EJ SmithRB · Not specifiedIR
- Ethan DownsLB · Not specifiedIR
- Jeff CaldwellWR · Not specifiedIR
- Jimmy HolidayWR · Not specifiedIR
- John Michael GyllenborgTE · Not specifiedIR
- Josh SimmonsOT · Not specifiedIR
- Matt WaletzkoOT · Not specifiedIR
- Omarr Norman-LottDT · knee - aclPUP
- Tyquan ThorntonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Chamarri ConnerDB · Last listed Wk 3: Doubtful (knee)—
- Chris JonesDE · Last listed Wk 2: Q (calf)—
- Cooper McDonaldLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- Rashee RiceWR · Last listed Wk 7: Out (hamstring, knee)Cleared
DEN · Denver Broncos
19 listed- RJ HarveyRB · kneeOut
- Talanoa HufangaSAF · ankleOut
- Brandon JonesSAF · hamstringQuestionable
- Jaylen WaddleWR · chestQuestionable
- Zach AllenDE · hamstringQuestionable
- Caleb LohnerTE · Not specifiedIR
- Frank CrumOT · Not specifiedIR
- Jonah EllissLB · ankleIR
- Levelle BaileyLB · Not specifiedIR
- Matt HenningsenDE · Not specifiedIR
- Michael DeiterC · Not specifiedIR
- Nick GargiuloG · Not specifiedIR
- Pat BryantWR · Not specifiedIR
- Tyler BadieRB · thumbIR
- Dondrea TillmanLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (hamstring)—
- Jonah ColemanRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Marvin Mims Jr.WR · Last listed Wk 3: Q (foot)—
- Pat Surtain IICB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Riley MossCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ribs)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Rushing Yards
No games played yet this season.
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- —
- regular season
- Average
- —
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
No games played yet this season, so there is nothing to split.
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
No games played yet this season.
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Denver Broncos defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
By position
No games played yet this season, so there is nothing to rank a defence by.
Similar players
No comparable games against this defense yet.
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 40.5
- combined
- KC implied total
- 20.75
- favored
- DEN implied total
- 19.75
- underdog
- Projected script
- Close
- tight spread
- Pace
- 30.4s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 2 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 61°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 59
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 35.1
- 60% pass
- Red-zone trips
- 3.8
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- +3.0
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
His opportunity share (snaps, routes, target and red-zone share) builds from games played. It fills in here once he has a season to read.
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- —
- Games missed this season
- 1
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 3% | Market only | — | — | 3% | level |
| 1st TD | 1% | Market only | — | — | 1% | level |
| Last TD | 1% | Market only | — | — | 1% | level |
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Rush | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Jaydn Ott's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Jaydn Ott's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Jaydn Ott's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Jaydn Ott's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
