nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 8 · SUNDAY

Chargers vs Rams Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1 · 1:05 PM PT
Venue
SoFi Stadium
Conditions
Indoor · dome

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Omarion HamptonLAC · RUSH ATTEMPTS
    Line
    9.5
    Nuvela projection
    11.7
    Gap
    +2.2
  2. Omarion HamptonLAC · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    33.5
    Nuvela projection
    43.3
    Gap
    +9.8
  3. Matthew StaffordLA · PASS + RUSH YARDS
    Line
    251.5
    Tank01 projection
    277.2
    Gap
    +25.7
  4. Matthew StaffordLA · PASSING YARDS
    Line
    250.5
    Nuvela projection
    259.2
    Gap
    In line with market
  5. Justin HerbertLAC · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    23.5
    Nuvela projection
    24.4
    Gap
    In line with market

The game in numbers

  • 128.7Projected play count
  • -5.1Pass rate over expected
  • 3rdPace rank, slate
  • DomeConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Chargers19.517.4−2.1
Rams26.526.2−0.3
Game total45.043.6−1.4

The Chargers carry 88% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

152 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props148

Chargers · Away7 players

Questionable (concussion)

RECEPTIONS
3.5MARKET−1.2WIDE2.3Nuvela projection
Season range 0-5RECEIVING YARDS
45.5MARKET−19.7WIDE25.8Nuvela projection
Season range 0-82LONGEST RECEPTION
21.5MARKET−1.5NARROW20.0Nuvela
Season range 17-291ST TD
6%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketANYTIME TD
27%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-1LAST TD
8%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this market
Depth and touchdown only · 8 players · 24 props

Rams · Home6 players

Depth and touchdown only · 8 players · 24 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
45.0MARKET−1.4GAP43.643.6
Season range 28-71
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
LA by 6.5MARKET+2.4GAP8.9LA by 8.9
Season range 2-22

Team props2

Chargers · Away1 market

ChargersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
19.5MARKET−2.1GAP17.4Nuvela
Season range 6-23

Rams · Home1 market

RamsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
26.5MARKET−0.3GAP26.2Nuvela
Season range 7-35