WR · Baltimore Ravens#10

LaJohntay Wester

Updated

LaJohntay Wester (WR, BAL) props for Week 8 at Buffalo Bills: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

@ Buffalo Bills · Week 8

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
3 of 8
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Baltimore is without quarterback Skylar Thompson, which changes who throws to Wester. Across from him, Buffalo is missing two cornerbacks, the players who usually cover receivers.

WesterNo injury designation

Around himBaltimore Ravens

3 of 29 touch Wester

This week

  • QuestionableLamar JacksonQB · ankleChanges who throws to him

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRDurham SmytheTEFrees targets
  • IRSkylar ThompsonQBChanges who throws to him

Across from himBuffalo Bills

4 of 23 touch Wester

This week

  • SuspendedC.J. Gardner-JohnsonSAF · suspensionDeep coverage
  • QuestionableDee AlfordCB · ankleCovers receivers

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • PUPDorian StrongCBCovers receivers
  • IRJordan HancockCBCovers receivers
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2923Show

BAL · Baltimore Ravens

29 listed
  • Jaylinn HawkinsSAF · kneeQuestionable
  • Kyle HamiltonSAF · kneeQuestionable
  • Lamar JacksonQB · ankleQuestionable
  • Roquan SmithILB · kneeQuestionable
  • Adam RandallRB · neckIR
  • Bilhal KoneCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Danny PinterG · Not specifiedIR
  • Durham SmytheTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Ethan PocicC · Not specifiedIR
  • Jahquez RobinsonSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Jovaughn GwynC · Not specifiedIR
  • Skylar ThompsonQB · Not specifiedIR
  • T.J. TampaCB · kneeIR
  • Tavius RobinsonLB · pectoralIR
  • Andrew VorheesG · Last listed Wk 6: Q (foot)—
  • Broderick WashingtonDT · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
  • Cam JurgensG · Last listed Wk 6: Out (concussion)—
  • Chris MooreWR · Last listed Wk 4: Q (ankle)—
  • Devontez WalkerWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (groin)—
  • Emery Jones Jr.OT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
  • Ja'Kobi LaneWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (wrist)—
  • John SimpsonG · Last listed Wk 2: Q (groin)—
  • Marlon HumphreyCB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hamstring, calf)—
  • Matthew HibnerTE · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hand)—
  • Nnamdi MadubuikeDT · Last listed Wk 2: Out (neck)—
  • Ronnie StanleyOT · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
  • Teddye BuchananLB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee)—
  • Trey HendricksonLB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (finger)—
  • Zay FlowersWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—

BUF · Buffalo Bills

23 listed
  • Bradley ChubbOLB · chestQuestionable
  • DJ MooreWR · shoulderQuestionable
  • Dalton KincaidTE · chestQuestionable
  • Dee AlfordCB · ankleQuestionable
  • Joe AndreessenLB · kneeQuestionable
  • Ray DavisRB · illnessQuestionable
  • TJ ParkerLB · kneeQuestionable
  • Demetrius Flannigan-FowlesLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Desmond ReidRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Dorian StrongCB · Not specifiedPUP
  • Jordan HancockCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Tyrell ShaversWR · knee - aclPUP
  • Zane DurantDT · Not specifiedIR
  • C.J. Gardner-JohnsonSAF · suspensionSuspended
  • Ar'maj Reed-AdamsG · Last listed Wk 3: Q (elbow)—
  • Christian BenfordCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (toe)—
  • Cole BishopSAF · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee, groin)—
  • Ed OliverDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
  • Josh PalmerWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (shoulder)—
  • Keon ColemanWR · Last listed Wk 3: Q (ankle)—
  • Landon JacksonDE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
  • T.J. SandersDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (shoulder)—
  • Ty JohnsonRB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (hamstring)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 6

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
0 of 2
each week's own close
Median
7
regular season
Average
7.3

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 57——0%0/2
Season7——0%0/2
Last season—————

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

6 of 6 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense
Games
6
of 6
Average
7.3
yards
Median
7
yards
Above the line
—
vs the full 6
0.0
yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

WeekOpponentReceiving YardsLine that weekAgainst it
Week 1@ IND15——
Week 2vs NO1422.5−8.5
Week 3@ DAL019.5−19.5
Week 4vs TEN0——
Week 6@ CLE0——
Week 7vs CIN15——

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

6 played · 1 DNP
WeekOpponentTargetsRecRec ydsLongaDOTTD
Wk 7vs CIN111515—0
Wk 6@ CLE000——0
Wk 5@ ATLDNP
Wk 4vs TEN000——0
Wk 3@ DAL000——0
Wk 2vs NO211414—0
Wk 1@ IND22159—0

Comparable players vs Buffalo

10 of 13

wide receivers went over their line vs Buffalo

  1. Jalen NailorLV · Week 69Rec ydsUnder 20.5
  2. Tre TuckerLV · Week 697Rec ydsOver 39.5
  3. Davante AdamsLA · Week 551Rec ydsUnder 62.5
  4. Puka NacuaLA · Week 5138Rec ydsOver 93.5
  5. Romeo DoubsNE · Week 458Rec ydsOver 39.5
  6. Ladd McConkeyLAC · Week 366Rec ydsOver 58.5
  7. Quentin JohnstonLAC · Week 340Rec ydsOver 35.5
  8. Tre HarrisLAC · Week 376Rec ydsOver 31.5
  9. Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · Week 2142Rec ydsOver 79.5
  10. Isaac TeSlaaDET · Week 226Rec ydsOver 17.5
  11. Jameson WilliamsDET · Week 233Rec ydsUnder 57.5
  12. Nico CollinsHOU · Week 175Rec ydsOver 69.5
  13. Xavier HutchinsonHOU · Week 132Rec ydsOver 17.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Buffalo Bills defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Buffalo Bills actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.21.518.428th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.64%62%21st of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.173.8148.826th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.8.18.116th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.11.711.121st of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.3.54.35th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.10%11%15th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB21.829th of 32
RB27.330th of 32
WRhis position42.332nd of 32
TE15.221st of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Ja'Marr Chase2025 · Wk 1444
Drake London2025 · Wk 6158
Jameson Williams2026 · Wk 233
Tyler Johnson2025 · Wk 20
Amon-Ra St. Brown2026 · Wk 2142

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
54.5
combined
BAL implied total
25.75
underdog
BUF implied total
28.75
favored
Projected script
Neutral/Trail
underdog
Pace
32.1s
seconds / play
Wind
4 mph
Clouds
Conditions
62°F
outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
60.9
7-game avg
Dropbacks
34.1
56% pass
His receptions
1
projected this game
Red-zone trips
3.4
7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−3.9
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share15%
Of the offence's snaps
Route %19%
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share3%
Of all his team's targets
Air-yards share1%
Of the team's intended air yards
RZ target share0%
Inside the opponent's 20
Targets / g0.7
Targets per game
Yards / route run1.3
Receiving yards per route run
aDOT3.2
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
None reported
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
1%
Games missed this season
1

If Wester sits

If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.

Next up

Devontez WalkerWR · 48% of the snaps

Where his work goes

  • Zay FlowersWR+4.2targets
  • Justice HillRB+2.5targets
  • Devontez WalkerWR+0.5targets
  • Derrick HenryRB+0.1targets

Based on 4 games without him

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 5 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TD5%Market only—0 of 56%level
1st TD1%Market only—0 of 51%level
Last TD1%Market only—0 of 52%level
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
Rush + Rec YardsNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
  2. The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
  3. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
  4. The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do LaJohntay Wester's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of LaJohntay Wester's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is LaJohntay Wester's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from LaJohntay Wester's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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