nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 8 · SUNDAY

Ravens vs Bills Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Nov 1 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Highmark Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor · 62F, 4 mph wind, clouds

Largest gaps vs typical error

  1. Lamar JacksonBAL · COMPLETIONS
    Line
    19.5
    Nuvela projection
    21.1
    Gap
    +1.6
  2. Josh AllenBUF · PASS + RUSH YARDS
    Line
    289.5
    Nuvela projection
    270.9
    Gap
    In line with market
  3. James CookBUF · RUSHING YARDS
    Line
    85.5
    Nuvela projection
    80.0
    Gap
    In line with market
  4. Lamar JacksonBAL · PASSING YARDS
    Line
    239.5
    Nuvela projection
    254.2
    Gap
    In line with market
  5. Derrick HenryBAL · RUSH + REC YARDS
    Line
    90.5
    Nuvela projection
    84.1
    Gap
    In line with market

The game in numbers

  • 119.9Projected play count
  • -3Pass rate over expected
  • 11thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Ravens25.524.8−0.7
Bills28.529.9+1.4
Game total54.554.7+0.2

The Bills carry 67% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

161 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props157

Ravens · Away9 players

RECEPTIONS
1.5MARKET+0.8GAP2.3Nuvela projection
Season range 0-3RUSH + REC YARDS
25.5MARKET−3.7In line with market21.8Nuvela projection
Season range 9-78RECEIVING YARDS
11.5MARKET+0.5In line with market12.0Nuvela projection
Season range 0-26RUSHING YARDS
10.5MARKET−0.7In line with market9.8Nuvela projection
Season range 0-73LONGEST RECEPTION
8.5MARKET+1.3WIDE9.8Nuvela
Season range 3-15LONGEST RUSH
6.5MARKET+0.5GAP7.0Nuvela
Season range 3-471ST TD
2%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this marketANYTIME TD
14%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Season range 0-0LAST TD
3%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
No range for this market
Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 16 props

Bills · Home9 players

Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
54.5MARKET+0.2GAP54.754.7
Season range 23-72
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
BUF by 3.0MARKET+2.1GAP5.1BUF by 5.1
Season range 3-22

Team props2

Ravens · Away1 market

RavensTEAM TOTAL POINTS
25.5MARKET−0.7GAP24.8Nuvela
Season range 10-41

Bills · Home1 market

BillsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
28.5MARKET+1.4GAP29.9Nuvela
Season range 24-41