RB · New York Giants#23
Najee Harris
Najee Harris (RB, NYG) props research: on bye in Week 8; hit rates, game log, usage and splits, with lines and projections back for Week 9.
On bye in Week 8No team
Next game: Week 9 at Philadelphia Eagles, Nov 8
- Line
- Bye week
- Rushing Yards
- Projection
- Bye week
- no game this week
- Difference
- Bye week
- Lines checked
- —
- Markets posted
- No game this week
- Projections updated
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
New York Giants is without running back Tyrone Tracy Jr., so more of the backfield work stays with Harris. Across from him, Philadelphia has nobody out who usually stops the run.
HarrisNo team
Around himNew York Giants
5 of 29 touch Harris
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRTyrone Tracy Jr.RBFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
- IRBraxton BerriosWRFrees targets
- IRCalvin Austin IIIWRFrees targets
Show 2 more
- IRGunner OlszewskiWRFrees targets
- IRJaxson DartQBChanges who throws to him
Across from himPhiladelphia Eagles
3 of 26 touch Harris
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRAndre' SamSAFCovers backs downfield
- IRJakorian BennettDBCovers backs downfield
- IRTucker LargeSAFCovers backs downfield
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2926ShowHide
NYG · New York Giants
29 listed- Braxton BerriosWR · Not specifiedIR
- Brian BurnsLB · Not specifiedIR
- Calvin Austin IIIWR · Not specifiedIR
- Chauncey GolstonDE · Not specifiedIR
- Gunner OlszewskiWR · Not specifiedIR
- Jarrick Bernard-ConverseCB · Not specifiedIR
- Jaxson DartQB · Not specifiedIR
- Korie BlackCB · Not specifiedIR
- Rico PaytonCB · Not specifiedIR
- Roy Robertson-HarrisDE · Not specifiedIR
- Thaddeus DixonCB · Not specifiedIR
- Tremaine EdmundsMLB · shoulderIR
- Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · Not specifiedIR
- Jake HaenerQBInactive
- Josh SillsGInactive
- Abdul CarterLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
- Andrew ThomasOT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (groin)—
- Colton HoodCB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (concussion)—
- Deonte BanksCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (calf)—
- Greg Newsome IICB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)—
- Jason PinnockSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Out (concussion)—
- Jermaine EluemunorG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (calf)—
- Jevon HollandSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)—
- Malik NabersWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
- Marcus MbowG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)—
- Micah McFaddenLB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (neck)—
- Paulson AdeboCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)—
- Theo JohnsonTE · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (neck)—
- Tyler NubinSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (neck)—
PHI · Philadelphia Eagles
26 listed- Andre' SamSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Dameon PierceRB · Not specifiedIR
- Jakorian BennettDB · Not specifiedIR
- Jalen HurtsQB · Not specifiedIR
- Johnny WilsonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Tank BigsbyRB · Not specifiedIR
- Tucker LargeSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Will ShipleyRB · Not specifiedIR
- A.J. EpenesaLB · Last listed Wk 6: Doubtful (back)—
- Andrew MukubaSAF · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
- Dallas GoedertTE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—
- DeVonta SmithWR · Last listed Wk 7: Out (hamstring)—
- Dontayvion WicksWR · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)—
- Drew KendallC · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Eli StowersTE · Last listed Wk 7: Q (quadricep)—
- Fred JohnsonOT · Last listed Wk 4: Out (knee)—
- Grant CalcaterraTE · Last listed Wk 7: Q (back)—
- Jalyx HuntLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee, ankle)—
- Jonathan GreenardLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)—
- Landon DickersonG · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee, pectoral)—
- Marcus EppsSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Out (groin)—
- Marquise BrownWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (ankle)—
- Michael Carter IICB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (abdomen)—
- Nolan SmithLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)—
- Saquon BarkleyRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hamstring)—
- Zack BaunLB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Rushing Yards, last 5
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- 2 of 4
- each week's own close
- Median
- 9
- regular season
- Average
- 19.8
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 9 | —— | 33%1/3 |
| Last 5 | 19.5 | —— | 50%2/4 |
| Season | 19.5 | —— | 50%2/4 |
| Last season | 28 | —— | 67%2/3 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 5
- of 5
- Average
- 19.8
- yards
- Median
- 9
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 5
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Rushing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ LA | 6 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs TEN | 52 | 20.5 | +31.5 |
| Week 4 | vs ARI | 30 | 23.5 | +6.5 |
| Week 5 | @ WAS | 9 | 27.5 | −18.5 |
| Week 6 | vs NO | 2 | 36.5 | −34.5 |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Rush yds | YPC | Long | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs NO | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 5 | @ WAS | 5 | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Wk 4 | vs ARI | 9 | 30 | 3.3 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 3 | vs TEN | 9 | 52 | 5.8 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 2 | @ LA | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Philadelphia Eagles defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the run
What Philadelphia Eagles actually allows to RBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries facedRushing volume this defence sees. | 27.4 | 22.1 | 32nd of 32 |
| Rushing yards allowedPer game, to running backs. | 116.7 | 91.1 | 30th of 32 |
| Yards per carry allowedEfficiency conceded. | 4.3 | 4.1 | 21st of 32 |
| Runs stopped at or behind the lineShare of carries gaining nothing: the floor-killer for a rushing prop. | 15% | 17% | 22nd of 32 |
| Runs of 10+ yards allowedShare of carries breaking 10 yards: where a rushing line's ceiling comes from. | 10% | 11% | 12th of 32 |
| Loaded boxes (8+ defenders)Share of carries this defence met with a loaded box. | 9% | 23% | 31st of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 19.5 | 24th of 32 |
| RBhis position | 21.2 | 16th of 32 |
| WR | 40.1 | 31st of 32 |
| TE | 10.5 | 7th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rush yds |
|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard2026 · Wk 6 | 120 |
| Kyren Williams2026 · Wk 4 | 80 |
| Jordan Mason2025 · Wk 7 | 57 |
| Josh Jacobs2025 · Wk 10 | 74 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs2025 · Wk 11 | 39 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 40.5
- combined
- NYG implied total
- 21
- favored
- PHI implied total
- 19.5
- underdog
- Projected script
- Close
- tight spread
- Pace
- 30.8s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- —
- no forecast yet
- Conditions
- Outdoor
- outdoor
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 65.1
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 37.8
- 58% pass
- Red-zone trips
- 3.1
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −6.1
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Not specified
- Game status
- No Team
- Snap share, last game
- 14%
- Games missed this season
- 1
If Harris sits
If a back sits, his carries usually split into two jobs rather than going to one player: early downs and the goal line, and passing downs.
Next up
Patrick RicardRB · 33% of the snaps
Where his work goes
No teammate stands out to take his work.
Only 1 game without him, too few to measure, so this split is our estimate
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | No game this week | |||||
| Rushing Yards | No game this week | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No game this week | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No game this week | |||||
| Receptions | No game this week | |||||
| Receiving Yards | No game this week | |||||
| 1st TD | No game this week | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No game this week | |||||
| Longest Rush | No game this week | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
The club is on bye, so there is no line to track this week. The open and every move appear here for its next game.
Moves with this
How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No game this week, so there are no sportsbook lines.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Najee Harris's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Najee Harris's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Najee Harris's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Najee Harris's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
