TE · Pittsburgh Steelers#85

Robert Tonyan

Updated

Robert Tonyan (TE, PIT) props for Week 8 vs Cleveland Browns: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
3 of 7
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Pittsburgh is missing three receivers, which frees targets. Across from him, Cleveland is missing two linebackers and one safety, the players who usually cover tight ends.

TonyanNo injury designation

Around himPittsburgh Steelers

4 of 22 touch Tonyan

This week

  • QuestionableBen SkowronekWR · calfFrees targets

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRCole BurgessWRFrees targets
  • IRMichael PittmanWRFrees targets
  • IRRoman WilsonWRFrees targets

Across from himCleveland Browns

7 of 30 touch Tonyan

This week

  • QuestionableDaniel ThomasSAF · ankleCovers tight ends
  • QuestionableMyles HardenCB · hamstringIn pass coverage

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRDamarri MathisDBCovers tight ends
  • IREdefuan UlofoshioLBCovers tight ends
  • PUPJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLBCovers tight ends

Off the report this week

  • ClearedDenzel WardCB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
  • ClearedQuincy WilliamsLB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2230Show

PIT · Pittsburgh Steelers

22 listed
  • Brandin EcholsCB · hamstringOut
  • Doneiko SlaughterDB · hamstringOut
  • Ben SkowronekWR · calfQuestionable
  • Cole BurgessWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Daequan HardyCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Derrick HarmonDT · Not specifiedIR
  • Donte KentCB · Not specifiedPUP
  • Gennings DunkerG · Not specifiedIR
  • Jack DriscollOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Logan LeeDT · Not specifiedIR
  • Michael PittmanWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Roman WilsonWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Sebastian Joseph-DayDT · tricepsIR
  • DeShon ElliottSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
  • Jalen RamseyCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (wrist)—
  • Jamel DeanCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
  • Jaylen WarrenRB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
  • Keeanu BentonDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
  • Pat FreiermuthTE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
  • Rico DowdleRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
  • Troy FautanuOT · Last listed Wk 2: Q (ankle)—
  • Yahya BlackDE · Last listed Wk 4: Q—

CLE · Cleveland Browns

30 listed
  • Dillon GabrielQBOut last week
  • Daniel ThomasSAF · ankleQuestionable
  • Myles HardenCB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Alex WrightDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Damarri MathisDB · Not specifiedIR
  • Edefuan UlofoshioLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Elijah ChatmanDT · Not specifiedIR
  • Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLB · Not specifiedPUP
  • Joe RoyerTE · Not specifiedPUP
  • Kalia DavisDT · quadricepIR
  • Raheim SandersRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Teven JenkinsG · backIR
  • Bub MeansWRPractice squad
  • John Saunders Jr.SAFInactive
  • Audric EstiméRB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (thigh)—
  • Carsen RyanTE · Last listed Wk 5: Out (calf)—
  • Carson SchwesingerLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
  • Denzel WardCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hand)Cleared
  • Derek BarnettDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
  • Dylan SampsonRB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (knee)—
  • Elgton JenkinsC · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion)—
  • Grant DelpitSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
  • Mason GrahamDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee, ankle)—
  • Mike Hall Jr.DT · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)Cleared
  • Noah IgbinogheneCB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (hand)—
  • Parker BrailsfordC · Last listed Wk 1: Q (thumb)—
  • Quincy WilliamsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (neck)Cleared
  • Quinshon JudkinsRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
  • Tylan WallaceWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (knee)—
  • Tyson CampbellCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 1

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
2
regular season
Average
2

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season—————

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

1 of 7 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense
Games
1
of 7
Average
2
yards
Median
2
yards
Above the line
—
vs the full 7
0.0
yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

WeekOpponentReceiving YardsLine that weekAgainst it
Week 1vs ATL———
Week 2@ NE———
Week 3vs CIN2——
Week 4@ CLE———
Week 5vs IND———
Week 6@ TB———
Week 7@ NO———

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

7 played
WeekOpponentSnap%TargetsRecRec ydsLongTD
Wk 7@ NO9%—————
Wk 6@ TB10%—————
Wk 5vs IND8%—————
Wk 4@ CLE1%—————
Wk 3vs CIN6%11220
Wk 2@ NE3%—————
Wk 1vs ATL3%—————

Comparable players vs Cleveland

5 of 8

tight ends went over their line vs Cleveland

  1. Gunnar HelmTEN · Week 724Rec ydsOver 12.5
  2. Mark AndrewsBAL · Week 64Rec ydsUnder 28.5
  3. Mason TaylorNYJ · Week 524Rec ydsOver 12.5
  4. Darnell WashingtonPIT · Week 427Rec ydsOver 16.5
  5. Pat FreiermuthPIT · Week 417Rec ydsUnder 27.5
  6. Darren WallerCAR · Week 351Rec ydsOver 20.5
  7. Cade OttonTB · Week 238Rec ydsOver 29.5
  8. Brenton StrangeJAX · Week 123Rec ydsUnder 36.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Cleveland Browns defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Cleveland Browns actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.8.17.620th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.68%72%9th of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.49.354.517th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.6.17.18th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.7.16.126th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.3.94.99th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.16%11%32nd of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB14.78th of 32
RB19.48th of 32
WR31.819th of 32
TEhis position13.618th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Brock Bowers2025 · Wk 1255
Sam LaPorta2025 · Wk 439
Cade Otton2026 · Wk 238
Tucker Kraft2025 · Wk 329
George Kittle2025 · Wk 1367

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
39.5
combined
PIT implied total
21.5
favored
CLE implied total
18
underdog
Projected script
Neutral/Lead
favored
Pace
30.2s
seconds / play
Wind
3 mph
Clouds
Conditions
66°F
outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
62.3
7-game avg
Dropbacks
41.2
66% pass
Red-zone trips
2.9
7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
+2.9
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share6%
Of the offence's snaps
Route %3%
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share3%
Of all his team's targets
RZ target share3%
Inside the opponent's 20
Inside-10 tgt share0%
Of the team's targets inside the 10
aDOT0
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
None reported
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
9%
Games missed this season
0

If Tonyan sits

If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.

Next up

Pat FreiermuthTE · 63% of the snaps

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 4 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TD4%Market only—0 of 3 incl. 20254%level
1st TD1%Market only—0 of 51%level
Last TD1%Market only—0 of 51%level
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
  2. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
  3. The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
  4. The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Robert Tonyan's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Robert Tonyan's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Robert Tonyan's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Robert Tonyan's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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