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NFL · WEEK 2 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Saints vs Ravens Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
M&T Bank Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor · 79F, 10 mph wind

The game in numbers

  • -1.3Pass rate over expected
  • 1stPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Saints17.518.4+0.9
Ravens27.525.0−2.5
Game total45.543.5−2.0

The Ravens carry 74% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

149 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props145

Saints · Away8 players

RECEPTIONS
2.5MARKET−1.0WIDE1.5Tank01 projection
Actual 5.0 · final resultRUSH + REC YARDS
37.5MARKET−9.9WIDE27.6Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 22.0 · final resultRECEIVING YARDS
11.5MARKET−3.8In line with market7.7Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 7.0 · final resultRUSHING YARDS
21.5MARKET−1.6In line with market19.9Tank01 projection
Actual 15.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
8.5MARKET+2.7WIDE11.2Nuvela
Actual 6.0 · final resultLONGEST RUSH
6.5MARKET · 1 BOOK+1.5WIDE8.0Nuvela
Actual 6.0 · final result1ST TD
5%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
21%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
6%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 18 props

Ravens · Home6 players

Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
45.5MARKET−2.0GAP43.543.5
Season range 61-64
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
BAL by 8.5MARKET+1.9GAP6.6BAL by 6.6
Season range 1-18

Team props2

Saints · Away1 market

SaintsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
17.5MARKET+0.9GAP18.4Nuvela
Season range 30-30

Ravens · Home1 market

RavensTEAM TOTAL POINTS
27.5MARKET−2.5GAP25.0Nuvela
Season range 41-41