TE · Baltimore Ravens#88
Matthew Hibner
Updated
Matthew Hibner (TE, BAL) props for Week 8 at Buffalo Bills: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
@ Buffalo Bills · Week 8
- Line
- —
- Receiving Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 7
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Baltimore is without tight end Durham Smythe, so the position’s targets stay with Hibner. Across from him, Buffalo is missing one linebacker and one safety, the players who usually cover tight ends.
HibnerNo injury designation
Around himBaltimore Ravens
3 of 26 touch Hibner
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDurham SmytheTELeaves the tight end targets to him
- IRSkylar ThompsonQBChanges who throws to him
Off the report this week
- ClearedLamar JacksonQB · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Across from himBuffalo Bills
6 of 22 touch Hibner
This week
- SuspendedC.J. Gardner-JohnsonSAF · suspensionCovers tight ends
- QuestionableDee AlfordCB · ankleIn pass coverage
- QuestionableTJ ParkerLB · kneeCovers tight ends
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDemetrius Flannigan-FowlesLBCovers tight ends
- PUPDorian StrongCBIn pass coverage
- IRJordan HancockCBIn pass coverage
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2622ShowHide
BAL · Baltimore Ravens
26 listed- Jaylinn HawkinsSAF · kneeOut
- Adam RandallRB · neckIR
- Bilhal KoneCB · Not specifiedIR
- Danny PinterG · Not specifiedIR
- Durham SmytheTE · Not specifiedIR
- Ethan PocicC · Not specifiedIR
- Jahquez RobinsonSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Jovaughn GwynC · Not specifiedIR
- Skylar ThompsonQB · Not specifiedIR
- T.J. TampaCB · kneeIR
- Tavius RobinsonLB · pectoralIR
- Andrew VorheesG · Last listed Wk 6: Q (foot)—
- Broderick WashingtonDT · Last listed Wk 7: Q (ankle)Cleared
- Cam JurgensG · Last listed Wk 6: Out (concussion)—
- Chris MooreWR · Last listed Wk 4: Q (ankle)—
- Devontez WalkerWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (groin)—
- Emery Jones Jr.OT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Ja'Kobi LaneWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (wrist)—
- John SimpsonG · Last listed Wk 2: Q (groin)—
- Lamar JacksonQB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)Cleared
- Marlon HumphreyCB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hamstring, calf)—
- Nnamdi MadubuikeDT · Last listed Wk 2: Out (neck)—
- Ronnie StanleyOT · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
- Teddye BuchananLB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee)—
- Trey HendricksonLB · Last listed Wk 5: Out (finger)—
- Zay FlowersWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
BUF · Buffalo Bills
22 listed- DJ MooreWR · shoulderQuestionable
- Dalton KincaidTE · chestQuestionable
- Dee AlfordCB · ankleQuestionable
- Greg GainesDT · calfQuestionable
- TJ ParkerLB · kneeQuestionable
- Demetrius Flannigan-FowlesLB · Not specifiedIR
- Desmond ReidRB · Not specifiedIR
- Dorian StrongCB · Not specifiedPUP
- Jordan HancockCB · Not specifiedIR
- Tyrell ShaversWR · knee - aclPUP
- Zane DurantDT · Not specifiedIR
- C.J. Gardner-JohnsonSAF · suspensionSuspended
- Ar'maj Reed-AdamsG · Last listed Wk 3: Q (elbow)—
- Christian BenfordCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (toe)—
- Cole BishopSAF · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee, groin)—
- Ed OliverDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
- Josh PalmerWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (shoulder)—
- Keon ColemanWR · Last listed Wk 3: Q (ankle)—
- Landon JacksonDE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- Ray DavisRB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
- T.J. SandersDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (shoulder)—
- Ty JohnsonRB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (hamstring)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Receiving Yards, last 4
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 18
- regular season
- Average
- 17.5
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 4
- of 6
- Average
- 17.5
- yards
- Median
- 18
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 6
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ IND | 13 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs NO | — | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ DAL | 23 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs TEN | 34 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ ATL | — | 6.5 | — |
| Week 7 | vs CIN | 0 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Snap% | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | vs CIN | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
| Wk 5 | @ ATL | 39% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 4 | vs TEN | 58% | 2 | 2 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| Wk 3 | @ DAL | 50% | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | 1 |
| Wk 2 | vs NO | 33% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wk 1 | @ IND | 34% | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
Comparable players vs Buffalo
Other tight ends who faced Buffalo this season, and how they did against their line.
tight ends went over their line vs Buffalo
- Brock BowersLV · Week 6Line 80.570Rec ydsUnder 80.5Under−10.5
- Michael MayerLV · Week 6Line 27.595Rec ydsOver 27.5Over+67.5
- Colby ParkinsonLA · Week 5Line 17.53Rec ydsUnder 17.5Under−14.5
- Davis AllenLA · Week 5Line 4.524Rec ydsOver 4.5Over+19.5
- Tyler HigbeeLA · Week 5Line 25.583Rec ydsOver 25.5Over+57.5
- Eli RaridonNE · Week 4Line 5.512Rec ydsOver 5.5Over+6.5
- Hunter HenryNE · Week 4Line 30.562Rec ydsOver 30.5Over+31.5
- Oronde Gadsden IILAC · Week 3Line 37.50Rec ydsUnder 37.5Under−37.5
- Sam LaPortaDET · Week 2Line 46.552Rec ydsOver 46.5Over+5.5
- Dalton SchultzHOU · Week 1Line 34.535Rec ydsOver 34.5Over+0.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Buffalo Bills defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles receivers
What Buffalo Bills actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on. | 9.5 | 7.6 | 30th of 32 |
| Catch rate allowedReceptions per target. | 68% | 72% | 8th of 32 |
| Receiving yards allowedTo this position. | 77.5 | 54.5 | 30th of 32 |
| Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position. | 8.2 | 7.1 | 25th of 32 |
| Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go. | 6.6 | 6.1 | 18th of 32 |
| Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line. | 5.9 | 4.9 | 26th of 32 |
| Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards. | 10% | 11% | 15th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 21.8 | 29th of 32 |
| RB | 27.3 | 30th of 32 |
| WR | 42.3 | 32nd of 32 |
| TEhis position | 15.2 | 21st of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rec yds |
|---|---|
| Brock Bowers2026 · Wk 6 | 70 |
| Sam LaPorta2026 · Wk 2 | 52 |
| Cade Otton2025 · Wk 11 | 28 |
| Kyle Pitts2025 · Wk 6 | 18 |
| Travis Kelce2025 · Wk 9 | 66 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 54.5
- combined
- BAL implied total
- 25.75
- underdog
- BUF implied total
- 28.75
- favored
- Projected script
- Neutral/Trail
- underdog
- Pace
- 32.1s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 4 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 62°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 60.9
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 34.1
- 56% pass
- His receptions
- 1.2
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 3.4
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −3.9
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Last listed Wk 6: Out (hand)
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 39%
- Games missed this season
- 1
If Hibner sits
If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.
Next up
Josh CuevasTE · 31% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Rashod BatemanWR+2.8targets
- Josh CuevasTE+2.2targets
- Zay FlowersWR+1.8targets
- Chris MooreWR+1.5targets
Based on 3 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 10% | Market only | — | 1 of 4 | 10% | level |
| 1st TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 2% | level |
| Last TD | 2% | Market only | — | 1 of 5 | 2% | level |
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Reception | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
- The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Matthew Hibner's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Matthew Hibner's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Matthew Hibner's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Matthew Hibner's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
