nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 2 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Seahawks vs Cardinals Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20 · 1:25 PM PT
Venue
State Farm Stadium
Conditions
Indoor · roof closed

The game in numbers

  • -3.5Pass rate over expected
  • 11thPace rank, slate
  • DomeConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Seahawks22.522.2−0.3
Cardinals17.520.0+2.5
Game total40.542.2+1.7

The Cardinals carry 89% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

146 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props142

Seahawks · Away7 players

RECEPTIONS
1.5MARKET+1.0WIDE2.5Tank01 projection
Actual 3.0 · final resultRECEIVING YARDS
23.5MARKET+1.4In line with market24.9Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 35.0 · final resultLONGEST RECEPTION
15.5MARKET−5.5WIDE10.0Nuvela
Actual 23.0 · final result1ST TD
6%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
21%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
6%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

Cardinals · Home7 players

Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 21 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
40.5MARKET+1.7GAP42.242.2
Season range 23-40
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
SEA by 3.5MARKET+1.3GAP2.2SEA by 2.2
Season range 3-12

Team props2

Seahawks · Away1 market

SeahawksTEAM TOTAL POINTS
22.5MARKET−0.3GAP22.2Nuvela
Season range 13-13

Cardinals · Home1 market

CardinalsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
17.5MARKET+2.5GAP20.0Nuvela
Season range 26-26