nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 6 · MONDAY · FINAL

Commanders vs 49ers Player Props

Kickoff
Mon, Oct 19 · 5:15 PM PT
Venue
Levi's Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor

The game in numbers

  • -0.1Pass rate over expected
  • 11thPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Commanders21.5——
49ers30.5——
Game total51.551.1−0.4

Under review · Our margin is more than 4 points from the market

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

158 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props154

Commanders · Away8 players

RUSH ATTEMPTS
5.5MARKET · 1 BOOK+1.6WIDE7.1Tank01 projection
Actual 1.0 · final resultRUSHING YARDS
19.5MARKET+7.9WIDE27.4Tank01 projection
Actual 3.0 · final resultRUSH + REC YARDS
29.5MARKET+8.0In line with market37.5Tank01 projection
Actual 7.0 · final resultRECEPTIONS
1.5MARKET−0.3In line with market1.2Tank01 projection
Actual 2.0 · final resultRECEIVING YARDS
7.5MARKET+2.6In line with market10.1Tank01 projection
Actual 4.0 · final resultLONGEST RUSH
7.5MARKET—GAP— We don't have enough to project this market yet.—
Actual 3.0 · final result1ST TD
5%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
24%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
6%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 7 players · 20 props

49ers · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 5 players · 14 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
51.5MARKET−0.4GAP51.151.1
Season range 34-66
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
SF by 7.5MARKET—GAP— Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our margin is more than 4 points from the market

Team props2

Commanders · Away1 market

CommandersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
21.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our margin is more than 4 points from the market

49ers · Home1 market

49ersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
30.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our margin is more than 4 points from the market