WR · Jacksonville Jaguars#18

C.J. Williams

Updated

C.J. Williams (WR, JAX) props for Week 8 vs Indianapolis Colts: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 8

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
3 of 8
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Jacksonville is without quarterback Carter Bradley, which changes who throws to Williams. Across from him, Indianapolis is missing one cornerback, the players who usually cover receivers.

WilliamsNo injury designation

Around himJacksonville Jaguars

2 of 20 touch Williams

This week

  • QuestionableJakobi MeyersWR · hamstringFrees targets at his spot

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRCarter BradleyQBChanges who throws to him

Across from himIndianapolis Colts

4 of 21 touch Williams

This week

  • QuestionableJustin WalleyCB · kneeCovers receivers

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRCam Taylor-BrittCB · groinCovers receivers
  • IRCameron MitchellDBDeep coverage

Off the report this week

  • ClearedSauce GardnerCB · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2021Show

JAX · Jacksonville Jaguars

20 listed
  • Ross MatiscikLSOut last week
  • Antonio JohnsonSAF · ankleQuestionable
  • Jahlani TavaiLB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Jakobi MeyersWR · hamstringQuestionable
  • LeQuint Allen Jr.RB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Ruke OrhorhoroDT · ankleQuestionable
  • Anton HarrisonOT · Not specifiedIR
  • BJ Green IIDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Caleb RansawSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Carter BradleyQB · Not specifiedIR
  • Garrett DiGiorgioOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Jared BartlettLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Parker HughesLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Patrick MekariOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Sam MustipherC · Not specifiedIR
  • Zach DurfeeDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Albert RegisDT · Last listed Wk 4: Q (elbow)—
  • Eric MurrayS · Last listed Wk 5: Doubtful (concussion)—
  • Jaylon JonesDB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Montaric BrownCB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—

IND · Indianapolis Colts

21 listed
  • Andrew OgletreeTE · kneeQuestionable
  • Anthony GouldWR · concussionQuestionable
  • Bryce BoettcherLB · groinQuestionable
  • Justin WalleyCB · kneeQuestionable
  • Tyler WarrenTE · groinQuestionable
  • Alec PierceWR · heelIR
  • Arden KeyDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Cam Taylor-BrittCB · groinIR
  • Cameron MitchellDB · Not specifiedIR
  • Carson TowtTE · Not specifiedIR
  • D.J. MontgomeryWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Micheal ClemonsDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Ashton DulinWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
  • Austin AjiakeLB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
  • CJ AllenLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)Cleared
  • Charvarius WardCB · Last listed Wk 5: Q—
  • DJ GiddensRB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
  • Jaylon CarliesLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (ribs)—
  • Keenan AllenWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q—
  • Sauce GardnerCB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (calf)Cleared
  • Will MalloryTE · Last listed Wk 5: Out (thumb)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
—
regular season
Average
—

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season—————

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

0 of 1 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense

No games match that split. Widen one of the cuts above.

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

1 played
WeekOpponentTargetsRecRec ydsLongaDOTTD
Wk 1vs CLE——————

Comparable players vs Indianapolis

11 of 20

wide receivers went under their line vs Indianapolis

  1. Jauan JenningsMIN · Week 734Rec ydsOver 7.5
  2. Jordan AddisonMIN · Week 720Rec ydsUnder 38.5
  3. Justin JeffersonMIN · Week 744Rec ydsUnder 72.5
  4. Calvin RidleyTEN · Week 60Rec ydsUnder 13.5
  5. Carnell TateTEN · Week 670Rec ydsOver 49.5
  6. Elic AyomanorTEN · Week 63Rec ydsUnder 14.5
  7. Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN · Week 622Rec ydsUnder 40.5
  8. DK MetcalfPIT · Week 512Rec ydsUnder 51.5
  9. Germie BernardPIT · Week 580Rec ydsOver 19.5
  10. Antonio WilliamsWAS · Week 421Rec ydsUnder 29.5
  11. Dyami BrownWAS · Week 465Rec ydsOver 11.5
  12. Stefon DiggsWAS · Week 435Rec ydsUnder 56.5
  13. Treylon BurksWAS · Week 447Rec ydsOver 18.5
  14. Jared WayneHOU · Week 320Rec ydsOver 15.5
  15. Kayshon BoutteHOU · Week 321Rec ydsUnder 37.5
  16. Xavier HutchinsonHOU · Week 351Rec ydsOver 38.5
  17. Rashee RiceKC · Week 283Rec ydsOver 48.5
  18. Tyquan ThorntonKC · Week 286Rec ydsOver 16.5
  19. Xavier WorthyKC · Week 225Rec ydsUnder 37.5
  20. Rashod BatemanBAL · Week 10Rec ydsUnder 26.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Indianapolis Colts defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Indianapolis Colts actually allows to WRs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.16.918.47th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.60%62%13th of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.141.6148.813th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.8.48.120th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.1211.125th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.4.54.320th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.14%11%29th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB17.821st of 32
RB2218th of 32
WRhis position297th of 32
TE13.719th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Drake London2025 · Wk 10104
Jakobi Meyers2025 · Wk 1739
Justin Jefferson2026 · Wk 744
Germie Bernard2026 · Wk 580
DK Metcalf2026 · Wk 512

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
46.5
combined
JAX implied total
28.25
favored
IND implied total
18.25
underdog
Projected script
Neutral/Lead
favored
Pace
32.3s
seconds / play
Wind
9 mph
Clouds
Conditions
76°F
outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
59.2
6-game avg
Dropbacks
33.1
56% pass
Red-zone trips
3.2
6-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−3.7
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share—
Of the offence's snaps
Route %—
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share—
Of all his team's targets
Air-yards share—
Of the team's intended air yards
RZ target share0%
Inside the opponent's 20
Targets / g—
Targets per game
aDOT—
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
None reported
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
18%
Games missed this season
5

If Williams sits

If a receiver sits, the player who replaces him gets the routes, but the second receiver and the tight end gain most of the targets.

Next up

Brian Thomas Jr.WR · 36% of the snaps

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 5 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TD4%Market only——4%level
1st TD1%Market only—0 of 11%level
Last TD1%Market only—0 of 11%level
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
Rush + Rec YardsNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the WR1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 760 games+0.6
  2. The WR2's receiving yardsmove loosely together · 760 games+0.2
  3. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
  4. The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do C.J. Williams's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of C.J. Williams's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is C.J. Williams's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from C.J. Williams's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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