TE · Jacksonville Jaguars#80

Quintin Morris

Updated

Quintin Morris (TE, JAX) props for Week 8 vs Indianapolis Colts: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 8

Line
—
Receiving Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
3 of 7
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Jacksonville is without quarterback Carter Bradley, which changes who throws to Morris. Across from him, Indianapolis is missing one safety, the players who usually cover tight ends.

MorrisNo injury designation

Around himJacksonville Jaguars

2 of 18 touch Morris

This week

  • QuestionableJakobi MeyersWR · hamstringFrees targets

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRCarter BradleyQBChanges who throws to him

Across from himIndianapolis Colts

6 of 21 touch Morris

This week

  • OutJustin WalleyCB · kneeIn pass coverage
  • QuestionableBryce BoettcherLB · groinCovers tight ends

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRCam Taylor-BrittCB · groinIn pass coverage
  • IRCameron MitchellDBCovers tight ends

Off the report this week

  • ClearedCJ AllenLB · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
  • ClearedSauce GardnerCB · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists1821Show

JAX · Jacksonville Jaguars

18 listed
  • Antonio JohnsonSAF · ankleOut
  • Ross MatiscikLSOut last week
  • Jakobi MeyersWR · hamstringQuestionable
  • Anton HarrisonOT · Not specifiedIR
  • BJ Green IIDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Caleb RansawSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Carter BradleyQB · Not specifiedIR
  • Garrett DiGiorgioOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Jared BartlettLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Parker HughesLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Patrick MekariOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Sam MustipherC · Not specifiedIR
  • Zach DurfeeDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Albert RegisDT · Last listed Wk 4: Q (elbow)—
  • Eric MurrayS · Last listed Wk 5: Doubtful (concussion)—
  • Jaylon JonesDB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • LeQuint Allen Jr.RB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hip)—
  • Montaric BrownCB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—

IND · Indianapolis Colts

21 listed
  • Anthony GouldWR · concussionOut
  • Justin WalleyCB · kneeOut
  • Andrew OgletreeTE · kneeQuestionable
  • Bryce BoettcherLB · groinQuestionable
  • Alec PierceWR · heelIR
  • Arden KeyDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Cam Taylor-BrittCB · groinIR
  • Cameron MitchellDB · Not specifiedIR
  • Carson TowtTE · Not specifiedIR
  • D.J. MontgomeryWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Micheal ClemonsDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Ashton DulinWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
  • Austin AjiakeLB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
  • CJ AllenLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)Cleared
  • Charvarius WardCB · Last listed Wk 5: Q—
  • DJ GiddensRB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
  • Jaylon CarliesLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (ribs)—
  • Keenan AllenWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q—
  • Sauce GardnerCB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (calf)Cleared
  • Tyler WarrenTE · Last listed Wk 7: Out (groin)Cleared
  • Will MalloryTE · Last listed Wk 5: Out (thumb)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Receiving Yards, last 4

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
0
regular season
Average
1.8

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season11——100%1/1

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

4 of 6 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense
Games
4
of 6
Average
1.8
yards
Median
0
yards
Above the line
—
vs the full 6
0.0
yards

Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.

WeekOpponentReceiving YardsLine that weekAgainst it
Week 1vs CLE0——
Week 2@ DEN7——
Week 3vs NE———
Week 4@ CIN0——
Week 5vs PHI0——
Week 6vs HOU———

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

6 played
WeekOpponentSnap%TargetsRecRec ydsLongTD
Wk 6vs HOU13%—————
Wk 5vs PHI3%000—0
Wk 4@ CIN2%000—0
Wk 3vs NE29%—————
Wk 2@ DEN22%11770
Wk 1vs CLE42%100—0

Comparable players vs Indianapolis

5 of 8

tight ends went under their line vs Indianapolis

  1. T.J. HockensonMIN · Week 735Rec ydsUnder 36.5
  2. Darnell WashingtonPIT · Week 512Rec ydsUnder 22.5
  3. Pat FreiermuthPIT · Week 544Rec ydsOver 27.5
  4. Chig OkonkwoWAS · Week 45Rec ydsUnder 29.5
  5. Dalton SchultzHOU · Week 330Rec ydsUnder 49.5
  6. Noah GrayKC · Week 20Rec ydsUnder 10.5
  7. Travis KelceKC · Week 2101Rec ydsOver 41.5
  8. Mark AndrewsBAL · Week 149Rec ydsOver 33.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Indianapolis Colts defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles receivers

What Indianapolis Colts actually allows to TEs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Targets allowedTo this position, per game: the volume a receptions line rests on.7.17.614th of 32
Catch rate allowedReceptions per target.68%72%7th of 32
Receiving yards allowedTo this position.45.354.512th of 32
Yards per target allowedVolume-independent efficiency conceded to this position.6.37.111th of 32
Target depth allowedAverage air yards per target: how far downfield this defence lets the ball go.6.66.119th of 32
Yards after catch allowedPer reception: tackling and pursuit, the other half of a receiving line.4.24.912th of 32
Deep attempts allowedShare of throws against this defence travelling 20+ air yards.14%11%29th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB17.821st of 32
RB2218th of 32
WR297th of 32
TEhis position13.719th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRec yds
Kyle Pitts2025 · Wk 1038
Trey McBride2025 · Wk 672
Travis Kelce2026 · Wk 2101
AJ Barner2025 · Wk 1527
Brenton Strange2025 · Wk 1754

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
46.5
combined
JAX implied total
28.25
favored
IND implied total
18.25
underdog
Projected script
Neutral/Lead
favored
Pace
32.3s
seconds / play
Wind
9 mph
Clouds
Conditions
76°F
outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
59.2
6-game avg
Dropbacks
33.1
56% pass
His receptions
0.9
projected this game
Red-zone trips
3.2
6-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−3.7
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share17%
Of the offence's snaps
Route %18%
Of the team's dropbacks
Target share2%
Of all his team's targets
RZ target share0%
Inside the opponent's 20
Inside-10 tgt share0%
Of the team's targets inside the 10
aDOT2.5
Average depth of target, in yards

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
None reported
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
13%
Games missed this season
0

If Morris sits

If a tight end sits, the next tight end gets the routes; the targets spread to the receivers and the backs.

Next up

Nate BoerkircherTE · 52% of the snaps

Where his work goes

  • Jakobi MeyersWR+4.8targets
  • Brenton StrangeTE+4.5targets
  • Josh CameronWR+1.5targets
  • Bhayshul TutenRB+1.2targets

Based on 4 games without him

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 4 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TD6%Market only—1 of 5 incl. 20256%−1%
1st TD1%Market only—0 of 51%level
Last TD2%Market only—0 of 51%level
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Longest ReceptionNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the TE1's receiving tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsmove together · 758 games+0.4
  2. The RB1's rushing yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
  3. The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0
  4. The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Quintin Morris's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Quintin Morris's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Quintin Morris's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Quintin Morris's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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