RB · Chicago Bears#36

Salvon Ahmed

Salvon Ahmed (RB, CHI) props for Week 8 at Seattle Seahawks: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

@ Seattle Seahawks · Week 8

Line
—
Rushing Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
0 of 9
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Chicago is without running back Brittain Brown, so more of the backfield work stays with Ahmed. Across from him, Seattle is missing one linebacker, the players who usually stop the run.

AhmedPractice squad

Around himChicago Bears

8 of 31 touch Ahmed

This week

  • QuestionableColston LovelandTE · neckFrees targets
  • QuestionableKyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeFrees carries and catches out of the backfield

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRBrittain BrownRBFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
  • IRBraxton JonesOTWeakens his run blocking
  • IRCole KmetTE · kneeFrees targets
Show 3 more
  • IRHayden LargeTEFrees targets
  • IRNikola KalinicTEFrees targets
  • IRRay-Ray McCloudWRFrees targets

Across from himSeattle Seahawks

11 of 31 touch Ahmed

This week

  • QuestionableChazz SurrattLB · calfTackles and covers backs
  • QuestionableConnor O'TooleLB · hamstringTackles and covers backs
  • QuestionableDrake ThomasLB · ankleTackles and covers backs
  • QuestionableLeonard WilliamsDE · achillesDefends the run
  • QuestionablePatrick O'ConnellLB · toeTackles and covers backs
  • QuestionableTyrice KnightLB · hipTackles and covers backs
  • QuestionableUchenna NwosuLB · hipTackles and covers backs

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRAaron SmithLBTackles and covers backs
  • IRBud ClarkSAFCovers backs downfield

Off the report this week

  • ClearedDeMarcus LawrenceLB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
  • ClearedNick EmmanworiSAF · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3131Show

CHI · Chicago Bears

31 listed
  • Colston LovelandTE · neckQuestionable
  • D'Marco JacksonLB · ankleQuestionable
  • Jack SanbornLB · concussionQuestionable
  • Kyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeQuestionable
  • Malik MuhammadCB · toeQuestionable
  • Anthony Johnson Jr.SAF · undisclosedIR
  • Braxton JonesOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Brittain BrownRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Coby BryantCB · kneeIR
  • Cole KmetTE · kneeIR
  • Dallis FlowersCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Dayo OdeyingboDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Dontae ManningCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Hayden LargeTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Jonathan GarvinDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Nephi SewellLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Nikola KalinicTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Ray-Ray McCloudWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Ruben Hyppolite IILB · Not specifiedIR
  • Tony Fields IILB · Not specifiedIR
  • Caleb WilliamsQB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Cam LewisCB · Last listed Wk 4: Doubtful (hip)—
  • Keyshaun ElliottLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (quadricep)—
  • Kyler GordonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
  • Noah SewellLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (achilles)—
  • Ozzy TrapiloOT · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
  • Rome OdunzeWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (calf)—
  • Shemar TurnerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
  • T.J. EdwardsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (hamstring)Cleared
  • Tyrique StevensonCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
  • Tyson BagentQB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion)—

SEA · Seattle Seahawks

31 listed
  • Chazz SurrattLB · calfQuestionable
  • Connor O'TooleLB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Drake ThomasLB · ankleQuestionable
  • Drew LockQB · elbowQuestionable
  • Leonard WilliamsDE · achillesQuestionable
  • Patrick O'ConnellLB · toeQuestionable
  • Rashid ShaheedWR · kneeQuestionable
  • Tyrice KnightLB · hipQuestionable
  • Uchenna NwosuLB · hipQuestionable
  • Velus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Zach CharbonnetRB · kneeQuestionable
  • Aaron SmithLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Bud ClarkSAF · Not specifiedIR
  • Elijah ArroyoTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Jadarian PriceRB · chestIR
  • Jake BoboWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Julian NealCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Mason RichmanG · Not specifiedIR
  • Robbie OuztsRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Jacardia WrightRBPractice squad
  • Terrion ArnoldCBInactive
  • Anthony BradfordG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee, hip)—
  • Brandon PiliDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion, neck)—
  • DeMarcus LawrenceLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
  • George HolaniRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ribs, knee)—
  • Irvin CharlesWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
  • Julian LoveSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
  • Nick EmmanworiSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
  • Sam DarnoldQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (glute)—
  • Tory HortonWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hamstring)—
  • Ty OkadaSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Rushing Yards

against the posted line

No games played yet this season.

Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
—
regular season
Average
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Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season—————

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

No games played yet this season, so there is nothing to split.

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

No games played yet this season.

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Seattle Seahawks defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

By position

fantasy points allowed

No games played yet this season, so there is nothing to rank a defence by.

Similar players

most recent vs this defense

No comparable games against this defense yet.

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
46.5
combined
CHI implied total
21.75
underdog
SEA implied total
24.75
favored
Projected script
Neutral/Trail
underdog
Pace
30.6s
seconds / play
Wind
2 mph
Clouds
Conditions
50°F
outdoor · 0% precip

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
71
7-game avg
Dropbacks
39.9
56% pass
Red-zone trips
4.3
7-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−0.3
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date

His opportunity share (snaps, routes, target and red-zone share) builds from games played. It fills in here once he has a season to read.

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
Not specified
Game status
Practice Squad
Snap share, last game
—
Games missed this season
—

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

0 posted · 9 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TDNo line posted yet
Rushing YardsNo line posted yet
Rush AttemptsNo line posted yet
Rush + Rec YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
1st TDNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
Longest RushNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
  2. The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
  3. The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
  4. The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Salvon Ahmed's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Salvon Ahmed's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Salvon Ahmed's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Salvon Ahmed's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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