RB · Los Angeles Chargers#44

Scott Matlock

Updated

Scott Matlock (RB, LAC) props for Week 8 at Los Angeles Rams: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.

@ Los Angeles Rams · Week 8 · Dome

Line
—
Rushing Yards
Projection
—
No line is posted for this market this week.
Difference
—
Lines checked
Markets posted
3 of 10
Projections updated

Highlights

No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.

Injury report

Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.

Los Angeles Chargers is without quarterback Trey Lance, which changes who throws to Matlock. Across from him, Los Angeles Rams is missing three linebackers and two defensive linemen, the players who usually stop the run.

MatlockNo injury designation

Around himLos Angeles Chargers

10 of 30 touch Matlock

This week

  • OutBrenen ThompsonWR · quadricepFrees targets

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRDalevon CampbellWRFrees targets
  • IRDavid NjokuTEFrees targets
  • IRIsaiah WorldOTWeakens his run blocking
Show 6 more
  • IRRashawn SlaterOTWeakens his run blocking
  • IRSincere BrownWRFrees targets
  • IRTrevor PenningOTWeakens his run blocking
  • IRTrey LanceQBChanges who throws to him
  • IRTrey PipkinsOTWeakens his run blocking
  • IRTyler BiadaszCWeakens his run blocking

Across from himLos Angeles Rams

6 of 23 touch Matlock

Out long term · already in his recent games

  • IRDaniel RickertLBTackles and covers backs
  • IREddie Walls IIILBTackles and covers backs
  • IRKobie TurnerDEDefends the run
Show 2 more
  • IRMyles GarrettLB · kneeTackles and covers backs
  • IRPoona FordDTDefends the run

Off the report this week

  • ClearedNate LandmanLB · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3023Show

LAC · Los Angeles Chargers

30 listed
  • Brenen ThompsonWR · quadricepOut
  • Deane LeonardCB · concussionOut
  • Derwin JamesFS · hamstringOut
  • Joe AltOTOut last week
  • Kayode AwosikaGOut last week
  • Donte JacksonCB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Rodney ShelleyDB · hamstringQuestionable
  • Alec IngoldFB · Not specifiedIR
  • Dalevon CampbellWR · Not specifiedIR
  • David NjokuTE · Not specifiedIR
  • Denzel PerrymanMLB · undisclosedIR
  • Isaiah WorldOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Rashawn SlaterOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Sincere BrownWR · Not specifiedIR
  • Trevor PenningOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Trey LanceQB · Not specifiedIR
  • Trey PipkinsOT · Not specifiedIR
  • Tyler BiadaszC · Not specifiedIR
  • Branson TaylorOT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (neck)—
  • Bud DupreeOLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q—
  • Charlie KolarTE · Last listed Wk 5: Q (forearm)—
  • Daiyan HenleyLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
  • Dalvin TomlinsonDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Elijah MoldenCB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
  • Jamaree CaldwellDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee)—
  • KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
  • Ladd McConkeyWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)—
  • Quentin JohnstonWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (chest)—
  • Tre HarrisWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
  • Tuli TuipulotuLB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hip)—

LA · Los Angeles Rams

23 listed
  • Colby ParkinsonTE · ribsQuestionable
  • Jordan WhittingtonWR · backQuestionable
  • Trent McDuffieCB · groinQuestionable
  • Blake GrupeK · Not specifiedIR
  • Daniel RickertLB · Not specifiedIR
  • Davante AdamsWR · hamstringIR
  • Eddie Walls IIILB · Not specifiedIR
  • Justin DedichOL · Not specifiedIR
  • Kobie TurnerDE · Not specifiedIR
  • Matthew CaldwellQB · Not specifiedIR
  • Myles GarrettLB · kneeIR
  • Poona FordDT · Not specifiedIR
  • Ronnie RiversRB · Not specifiedIR
  • Terrance FergusonTE · ankleIR
  • Zech McPhearsonCB · Not specifiedIR
  • Aaron DonaldDE · Last listed Wk 4: Out (back)—
  • Jaylen WatsonCB · Last listed Wk 4: Out (shoulder)—
  • Josaiah StewartLB · Last listed Wk 4: Q (groin)—
  • Kam CurlSAF · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
  • Kamren KinchensSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Doubtful (hamstring)—
  • Nate LandmanLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (concussion)Cleared
  • Puka NacuaWR · Last listed Wk 7: Q (calf)Cleared
  • Quentin LakeSAF · Last listed Wk 5: Q (hip)—

Form

What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.

Recent output relative to line

Full season · every game against the selected line.

Rushing Yards

against the posted line
Cleared the lineUnder the line
Consensus line
—
yards
Projection
—
Above the line
—
vs closing lines
—
no closing lines
Median
—
regular season
Average
—

Distribution by time window

The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.

Windows

WindowMedianAbove % · vs current lineAbove % · vs closing line
Last 3—————
Last 5—————
Season—————
Last season—————

Custom splits

Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.

Cut the sample

0 of 2 games
Venue
Game state
Opponent defense

No games match that split. Widen one of the cuts above.

Game log · season

Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.

Every game

2 played
WeekOpponentCarriesRush ydsYPCLongRecTD
Wk 6@ KC—————0
Wk 5vs DEN—————0

Comparable players vs LA Rams

4 of 7

running backs went under their line vs LA Rams

  1. Ashton JeantyLV · Week 715Rush ydsUnder 50.5
  2. Tyler AllgeierARI · Week 638Rush ydsUnder 47.5
  3. James CookBUF · Week 5111Rush ydsOver 76.5
  4. Tank BigsbyPHI · Week 455Rush ydsOver 7.5
  5. J.K. DobbinsDEN · Week 349Rush ydsUnder 50.5
  6. Cam SkatteboNYG · Week 236Rush ydsUnder 52.5
  7. Christian McCaffreySF · Week 168Rush ydsOver 59.5

Matchup

The defense he faces and the game around him.

Opponent defense

How Los Angeles Rams defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.

How this defense handles the run

What Los Angeles Rams actually allows to RBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.

MeasureAllowedLeague avgRank
Carries facedRushing volume this defence sees.22.722.119th of 32
Rushing yards allowedPer game, to running backs.85.791.116th of 32
Yards per carry allowedEfficiency conceded.3.84.18th of 32
Runs stopped at or behind the lineShare of carries gaining nothing: the floor-killer for a rushing prop.18%17%12th of 32
Runs of 10+ yards allowedShare of carries breaking 10 yards: where a rushing line's ceiling comes from.10%11%15th of 32
Loaded boxes (8+ defenders)Share of carries this defence met with a loaded box.11%23%30th of 32

By position

fantasy points allowed
PositionFP allowed / gRank1 = toughest
QB17.118th of 32
RBhis position20.313th of 32
WR26.85th of 32
TE10.25th of 32

Similar players

most recent vs this defense
PlayerRush yds
Tony Pollard2025 · Wk 292
Jonathan Taylor2025 · Wk 476
Jahmyr Gibbs2025 · Wk 1538
Bijan Robinson2025 · Wk 17195
Ashton Jeanty2026 · Wk 715

Game context

The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.

Game total
45
combined
LAC implied total
19.25
underdog
LA implied total
25.75
favored
Projected script
Neutral/Trail
underdog
Pace
29.8s
seconds / play
Wind
Indoors
no wind factor
Conditions
Dome
climate controlled

What the game projects

volume, not rates
Offensive play count
61.7
6-game avg
Dropbacks
36.8
60% pass
Red-zone trips
2.5
6-game avg
Pass rate ± exp
−9.8
PROE

A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.

Role

How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.

Usage & opportunity

Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.

Share of the offence

season to date
Snap share—
Of the offence's snaps
Route %—
Of the team's dropbacks
Carry share—
Of the team's rush attempts
RZ touches / g—
Touches inside the opponent's 20, per game
Goal-line carry share0%
Of the team's carries inside the 5

Availability

Practice participation through the week.

His practice week

Not reported
Injury
Last listed Wk 5: Q (foot)
Game status
No designation
Snap share, last game
22%
Games missed this season
0

If Matlock sits

If a back sits, his carries usually split into two jobs rather than going to one player: early downs and the goal line, and passing downs.

Next up

Kimani VidalRB · 40% of the snaps

Where his work goes

No teammate stands out to take his work.

No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate

Market

Every line posted for him, how it moved, and what each book charges.

In this groupMarketsOdds

All player props

Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.

Last five games against the line each of those games closed at. Filled is over, pale is under.

Every market compared

3 posted · 7 waiting on a book
MarketLineProjectionDiffCleared L5OpenedSince open
Anytime TD2%Market only—1 of 43%level
1st TD1%Market only—0 of 5 incl. 20251%level
Last TD1%Market only—0 of 5 incl. 20251%level
Rushing YardsNo line posted yet
Rush AttemptsNo line posted yet
Rush + Rec YardsNo line posted yet
ReceptionsNo line posted yet
Receiving YardsNo line posted yet
2+ TDsNo line posted yet
Longest RushNo line posted yet
What these figures mean
Cleared L5
How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
Since open
How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.

How the line moved

No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.

Moves with this

same game · role level

How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.

  1. The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
  2. The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
  3. The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
  4. The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0

A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.

Prop odds

Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.

No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.

Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.

About these numbers

Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.

Where do Scott Matlock's prop lines come from?
From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Scott Matlock's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
How is Scott Matlock's projection made?
The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Scott Matlock's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
Is this betting advice?
No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
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How the lines and projections on these pages are made: methodology.

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