RB · Seattle Seahawks#26
Zach Charbonnet
Updated
Zach Charbonnet (RB, SEA) props for Week 8 vs Chicago Bears: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Chicago Bears · Week 8Questionable
- Line
- —
- Rushing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 10
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Seattle is without two other running backs, so more of the backfield work stays with Charbonnet. Across from him, Chicago is missing three linebackers and two defensive linemen, the players who usually stop the run.
CharbonnetQuestionable · knee
Around himSeattle Seahawks
8 of 30 touch Charbonnet
This week
- QuestionableDrew LockQB · elbowChanges who throws to him
- QuestionableRashid ShaheedWR · kneeFrees targets
- QuestionableVelus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRJadarian PriceRB · chestFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
- IRRobbie OuztsRBFrees carries and catches out of the backfield
- IRElijah ArroyoTEFrees targets
Show 2 more
- IRJake BoboWRFrees targets
- IRMason RichmanGWeakens his run blocking
Across from himChicago Bears
9 of 30 touch Charbonnet
This week
- OutAnthony Johnson Jr.SAFCovers backs downfield
- QuestionableD'Marco JacksonLB · ankleTackles and covers backs
- QuestionableJack SanbornLB · concussionTackles and covers backs
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRDayo OdeyingboDEDefends the run
- IRJonathan GarvinDEDefends the run
- IRNephi SewellLBTackles and covers backs
Show 2 more
- IRRuben Hyppolite IILBTackles and covers backs
- IRTony Fields IILBTackles and covers backs
Off the report this week
- ClearedT.J. EdwardsLB · was Doubtful in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists3030ShowHide
SEA · Seattle Seahawks
30 listed- Chazz SurrattLB · calfQuestionable
- Connor O'TooleLB · hamstringQuestionable
- Drake ThomasLB · ankleQuestionable
- Drew LockQB · elbowQuestionable
- Leonard WilliamsDE · achillesQuestionable
- Patrick O'ConnellLB · toeQuestionable
- Rashid ShaheedWR · kneeQuestionable
- Tyrice KnightLB · hipQuestionable
- Uchenna NwosuLB · hipQuestionable
- Velus Jones Jr.RB · hamstringQuestionable
- Aaron SmithLB · Not specifiedIR
- Bud ClarkSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Elijah ArroyoTE · Not specifiedIR
- Jadarian PriceRB · chestIR
- Jake BoboWR · Not specifiedIR
- Julian NealCB · Not specifiedIR
- Mason RichmanG · Not specifiedIR
- Robbie OuztsRB · Not specifiedIR
- Jacardia WrightRBPractice squad
- Terrion ArnoldCBInactive
- Anthony BradfordG · Last listed Wk 2: Out (knee, hip)—
- Brandon PiliDT · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion, neck)—
- DeMarcus LawrenceLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- George HolaniRB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (ribs, knee)—
- Irvin CharlesWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- Julian LoveSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Out (calf)—
- Nick EmmanworiSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
- Sam DarnoldQB · Last listed Wk 2: Out (glute)—
- Tory HortonWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hamstring)—
- Ty OkadaSAF · Last listed Wk 4: Q (hamstring)—
CHI · Chicago Bears
30 listed- Anthony Johnson Jr.SAF · undisclosedOut
- D'Marco JacksonLB · ankleQuestionable
- Jack SanbornLB · concussionQuestionable
- Kyle MonangaiRB · thumb, toeQuestionable
- Malik MuhammadCB · toeQuestionable
- Braxton JonesOT · Not specifiedIR
- Brittain BrownRB · Not specifiedIR
- Coby BryantCB · kneeIR
- Cole KmetTE · kneeIR
- Dallis FlowersCB · Not specifiedIR
- Dayo OdeyingboDE · Not specifiedIR
- Dontae ManningCB · Not specifiedIR
- Hayden LargeTE · Not specifiedIR
- Jonathan GarvinDE · Not specifiedIR
- Nephi SewellLB · Not specifiedIR
- Nikola KalinicTE · Not specifiedIR
- Ray-Ray McCloudWR · Not specifiedIR
- Ruben Hyppolite IILB · Not specifiedIR
- Tony Fields IILB · Not specifiedIR
- Caleb WilliamsQB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- Cam LewisCB · Last listed Wk 4: Doubtful (hip)—
- Keyshaun ElliottLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (quadricep)—
- Kyler GordonCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
- Noah SewellLB · Last listed Wk 5: Q (achilles)—
- Ozzy TrapiloOT · Last listed Wk 1: Q (knee)—
- Rome OdunzeWR · Last listed Wk 1: Q (calf)—
- Shemar TurnerDT · Last listed Wk 5: Q (knee)—
- T.J. EdwardsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Doubtful (hamstring)Cleared
- Tyrique StevensonCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hip)Cleared
- Tyson BagentQB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (concussion)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Rushing Yards
No games played yet this season.
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- —
- regular season
- Average
- —
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 74 | —— | 67%2/3 |
| Last 5 | 46 | —— | 60%3/5 |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | 38 | —— | 50%8/16 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
No games played yet this season, so there is nothing to split.
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
No games played yet this season.
Comparable players vs Chicago
Other running backs who faced Chicago this season, and how they did against their line.
running backs went over their line vs Chicago
- Rhamondre StevensonNE · Week 7Line 43.522Rush ydsUnder 43.5Under−21.5
- Bijan RobinsonATL · Week 6Line 91.561Rush ydsUnder 91.5Under−30.5
- MarShawn LloydGB · Week 5Line 27.531Rush ydsOver 27.5Over+3.5
- Braelon AllenNYJ · Week 4Line 56.559Rush ydsOver 56.5Over+2.5
- Saquon BarkleyPHI · Week 3Line 73.582Rush ydsOver 73.5Over+8.5
- Aaron JonesMIN · Week 2Line 53.5105Rush ydsOver 53.5Over+51.5
- Chuba HubbardCAR · Week 1Line 50.549Rush ydsUnder 50.5Under−1.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Chicago Bears defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the run
What Chicago Bears actually allows to RBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries facedRushing volume this defence sees. | 17 | 22.1 | 1st of 32 |
| Rushing yards allowedPer game, to running backs. | 73.6 | 91.1 | 4th of 32 |
| Yards per carry allowedEfficiency conceded. | 4.3 | 4.1 | 24th of 32 |
| Runs stopped at or behind the lineShare of carries gaining nothing: the floor-killer for a rushing prop. | 17% | 17% | 16th of 32 |
| Runs of 10+ yards allowedShare of carries breaking 10 yards: where a rushing line's ceiling comes from. | 12% | 11% | 24th of 32 |
| Loaded boxes (8+ defenders)Share of carries this defence met with a loaded box. | 24% | 23% | 12th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 19.3 | 23rd of 32 |
| RBhis position | 18.6 | 6th of 32 |
| WR | 30.1 | 11th of 32 |
| TE | 13.1 | 17th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rush yds |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown2025 · Wk 9 | 37 |
| Braelon Allen2026 · Wk 4 | 59 |
| Ashton Jeanty2025 · Wk 4 | 138 |
| Christian McCaffrey2025 · Wk 17 | 140 |
| Alvin Kamara2025 · Wk 7 | 28 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 46.5
- combined
- SEA implied total
- 24.75
- favored
- CHI implied total
- 21.75
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 31.6s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 2 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 50°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 63.4
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 35.1
- 55% pass
- His carries
- 12.1
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 3.1
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −5.4
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- Knee
- Game status
- Questionable
- Snap share, last game
- —
- Games missed this season
- —
If Charbonnet sits
If a back sits, his carries usually split into two jobs rather than going to one player: early downs and the goal line, and passing downs.
Next up
George HolaniRB · 47% of the snaps
Where his work goes
No teammate stands out to take his work.
No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 54% | Market only | — | 3 of 5 | 54% | level |
| 1st TD | 15% | Market only | — | 3 of 5 | 14% | +2% |
| Last TD | 17% | Market only | — | 2 of 5 | 13% | +4% |
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Rush | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Zach Charbonnet's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Zach Charbonnet's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Zach Charbonnet's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Zach Charbonnet's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
