nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 7 · THURSDAY · FINAL

Patriots vs Bears Player Props

Kickoff
Thu, Oct 22 · 5:15 PM PT
Venue
Soldier Field
Conditions
Outdoor · 64F, 3 mph wind, clear

The game in numbers

  • -0.7Pass rate over expected
  • 1stPace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketProjectionGap
Patriots24.5——
Bears26.5——
Game total50.5——

Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

160 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props156

Patriots · Away10 players

RUSHING YARDS
24.5MARKET+9.7WIDE34.2Tank01 projection
Actual 9.0 · final resultRUSH + REC YARDS
32.5MARKET+9.3WIDE41.8Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 23.0 · final resultRUSH ATTEMPTS
6.5MARKET+0.9In line with market7.4Tank01 projection
Actual 3.0 · final resultLONGEST RUSH
9.5MARKET+0.7GAP10.2Nuvela
Actual 5.0 · final resultRECEPTIONS
0.5MARKET+0.7GAP1.2Tank01 projection
Actual 2.0 · final resultRECEIVING YARDS
3.5MARKET+4.1GAP7.6Tank01, median-adjusted
Actual 14.0 · final result1ST TD
5%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
22%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
5%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 3 players · 9 props

Bears · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 4 players · 12 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
50.5MARKET—GAP— Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
CHI by 3.0MARKET+2.1GAP0.9CHI by 0.9
Season range 3-29

Team props2

Patriots · Away1 market

PatriotsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
24.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

Bears · Home1 market

BearsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
26.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

Live stats. Posted lines.

Nuvela helps fantasy players and sports fans research athletes, compare matchups, evaluate prop markets, and make faster, more confident decisions across every sport we cover. From drafts to player props to deeper analysis, we surface the context behind the numbers so you can decide for yourself.

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