RB · Jacksonville Jaguars#20
Ameer Abdullah
Updated
Ameer Abdullah (RB, JAX) props for Week 8 vs Indianapolis Colts: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 8
- Line
- —
- Rushing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 10
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Jacksonville is without quarterback Carter Bradley, which changes who throws to Abdullah. Across from him, Indianapolis is missing two defensive linemen, the players who usually stop the run.
AbdullahNo injury designation
Around himJacksonville Jaguars
6 of 18 touch Abdullah
This week
- QuestionableJakobi MeyersWR · hamstringFrees targets
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRAnton HarrisonOTWeakens his run blocking
- IRCarter BradleyQBChanges who throws to him
- IRGarrett DiGiorgioOTWeakens his run blocking
Show 2 more
- IRPatrick MekariOTWeakens his run blocking
- IRSam MustipherCWeakens his run blocking
Across from himIndianapolis Colts
5 of 21 touch Abdullah
This week
- QuestionableBryce BoettcherLB · groinTackles and covers backs
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRArden KeyDEDefends the run
- IRCameron MitchellDBCovers backs downfield
- IRMicheal ClemonsDEDefends the run
Off the report this week
- ClearedCJ AllenLB · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists1821ShowHide
JAX · Jacksonville Jaguars
18 listed- Antonio JohnsonSAF · ankleOut
- Ross MatiscikLSOut last week
- Jakobi MeyersWR · hamstringQuestionable
- Anton HarrisonOT · Not specifiedIR
- BJ Green IIDE · Not specifiedIR
- Caleb RansawSAF · Not specifiedIR
- Carter BradleyQB · Not specifiedIR
- Garrett DiGiorgioOT · Not specifiedIR
- Jared BartlettLB · Not specifiedIR
- Parker HughesLB · Not specifiedIR
- Patrick MekariOT · Not specifiedIR
- Sam MustipherC · Not specifiedIR
- Zach DurfeeDE · Not specifiedIR
- Albert RegisDT · Last listed Wk 4: Q (elbow)—
- Eric MurrayS · Last listed Wk 5: Doubtful (concussion)—
- Jaylon JonesDB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (hamstring)—
- LeQuint Allen Jr.RB · Last listed Wk 1: Q (hip)—
- Montaric BrownCB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
IND · Indianapolis Colts
21 listed- Anthony GouldWR · concussionOut
- Justin WalleyCB · kneeOut
- Andrew OgletreeTE · kneeQuestionable
- Bryce BoettcherLB · groinQuestionable
- Alec PierceWR · heelIR
- Arden KeyDE · Not specifiedIR
- Cam Taylor-BrittCB · groinIR
- Cameron MitchellDB · Not specifiedIR
- Carson TowtTE · Not specifiedIR
- D.J. MontgomeryWR · Not specifiedIR
- Micheal ClemonsDE · Not specifiedIR
- Ashton DulinWR · Last listed Wk 6: Out (hamstring)—
- Austin AjiakeLB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (hamstring)—
- CJ AllenLB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)Cleared
- Charvarius WardCB · Last listed Wk 5: Q—
- DJ GiddensRB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (knee)—
- Jaylon CarliesLB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (ribs)—
- Keenan AllenWR · Last listed Wk 5: Q—
- Sauce GardnerCB · Last listed Wk 7: Out (calf)Cleared
- Tyler WarrenTE · Last listed Wk 7: Out (groin)Cleared
- Will MalloryTE · Last listed Wk 5: Out (thumb)—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Rushing Yards, last 5
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 2
- regular season
- Average
- 9
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | 2.5 | —— | 0%0/2 |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 5
- of 5
- Average
- 9
- yards
- Median
- 2
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 5
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Rushing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs CLE | 32 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ DEN | 11 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs NE | 2 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ CIN | 0 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs PHI | 0 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Rush yds | YPC | Long | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | vs HOU | DNP | |||||
| Wk 5 | vs PHI | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 4 | @ CIN | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 3 | vs NE | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 2 | @ DEN | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| Wk 1 | vs CLE | 4 | 32 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Comparable players vs Indianapolis
Other running backs who faced Indianapolis this season, and how they did against their line.
running backs went over their line vs Indianapolis
- Jordan MasonMIN · Week 7Line 47.568Rush ydsOver 47.5Over+20.5
- Tony PollardTEN · Week 6Line 57.576Rush ydsOver 57.5Over+18.5
- Jaylen WarrenPIT · Week 5Line 73.5101Rush ydsOver 73.5Over+27.5
- Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · Week 4Line 59.515Rush ydsUnder 59.5Under−44.5
- David MontgomeryHOU · Week 3Line 50.533Rush ydsUnder 50.5Under−17.5
- Kenneth Walker IIIKC · Week 2Line 83.5117Rush ydsOver 83.5Over+33.5
- Derrick HenryBAL · Week 1Line 78.5144Rush ydsOver 78.5Over+65.5
- Justice HillBAL · Week 1Line 8.518Rush ydsOver 8.5Over+9.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Indianapolis Colts defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the run
What Indianapolis Colts actually allows to RBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries facedRushing volume this defence sees. | 21.3 | 22.1 | 13th of 32 |
| Rushing yards allowedPer game, to running backs. | 95.6 | 91.1 | 19th of 32 |
| Yards per carry allowedEfficiency conceded. | 4.5 | 4.1 | 27th of 32 |
| Runs stopped at or behind the lineShare of carries gaining nothing: the floor-killer for a rushing prop. | 14% | 17% | 29th of 32 |
| Runs of 10+ yards allowedShare of carries breaking 10 yards: where a rushing line's ceiling comes from. | 11% | 11% | 18th of 32 |
| Loaded boxes (8+ defenders)Share of carries this defence met with a loaded box. | 31% | 23% | 6th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 17.8 | 21st of 32 |
| RBhis position | 22 | 18th of 32 |
| WR | 29 | 7th of 32 |
| TE | 13.7 | 19th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rush yds |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren2026 · Wk 5 | 101 |
| Bijan Robinson2025 · Wk 10 | 84 |
| Kenneth Walker III2026 · Wk 2 | 117 |
| Christian McCaffrey2025 · Wk 16 | 117 |
| Tony Pollard2026 · Wk 6 | 76 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 46.5
- combined
- JAX implied total
- 28.25
- favored
- IND implied total
- 18.25
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 32.3s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 9 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 76°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 59.2
- 6-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 33.1
- 56% pass
- His carries
- 3.3
- projected this game
- Red-zone trips
- 3.2
- 6-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- −3.7
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 1%
- Games missed this season
- 1
If Abdullah sits
If a back sits, his carries usually split into two jobs rather than going to one player: early downs and the goal line, and passing downs.
Next up
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · 21% of the snaps
Where his work goes
- Bhayshul TutenRB+2.7carries
- LeQuint Allen Jr.RB+0.3carries
Based on 3 games without him
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 6% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 6% | level |
| 1st TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 1% | level |
| Last TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 5 | 2% | level |
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Rush | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Ameer Abdullah's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Ameer Abdullah's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Ameer Abdullah's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Ameer Abdullah's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
