RB · Pittsburgh Steelers#29
Eli Heidenreich
Updated
Eli Heidenreich (RB, PIT) props for Week 8 vs Cleveland Browns: lines post as books open. Season averages and hit rates on every market we track.
vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8
- Line
- —
- Rushing Yards
- Projection
- —
- No line is posted for this market this week.
- Difference
- —
- Lines checked
- Markets posted
- 3 of 10
- Projections updated
Highlights
No book has posted this line yet.Highlights appear when one does.
Injury report
Both clubs’ full report, not only the names that touch his own workload.
Pittsburgh is missing three receivers, which frees targets. Across from him, Cleveland is missing three defensive linemen and two linebackers, the players who usually stop the run.
HeidenreichNo injury designation
Around himPittsburgh Steelers
7 of 22 touch Heidenreich
This week
- QuestionableBen SkowronekWR · calfFrees targets
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRCole BurgessWRFrees targets
- IRGennings DunkerGWeakens his run blocking
- IRJack DriscollOTWeakens his run blocking
Show 2 more
- IRMichael PittmanWRFrees targets
- IRRoman WilsonWRFrees targets
Off the report this week
- ClearedRico DowdleRB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Across from himCleveland Browns
9 of 30 touch Heidenreich
This week
- QuestionableDaniel ThomasSAF · ankleCovers backs downfield
Out long term · already in his recent games
- IRAlex WrightDEDefends the run
- IRDamarri MathisDBCovers backs downfield
- IREdefuan UlofoshioLBTackles and covers backs
Show 3 more
- IRElijah ChatmanDTDefends the run
- PUPJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLBTackles and covers backs
- IRKalia DavisDT · quadricepDefends the run
Off the report this week
- ClearedMike Hall Jr.DT · was Out in Wk 7Back on the field
- ClearedQuincy WilliamsLB · was Q in Wk 7Back on the field
Full reportEvery name on both clubs’ lists2230ShowHide
PIT · Pittsburgh Steelers
22 listed- Brandin EcholsCB · hamstringOut
- Doneiko SlaughterDB · hamstringOut
- Ben SkowronekWR · calfQuestionable
- Cole BurgessWR · Not specifiedIR
- Daequan HardyCB · Not specifiedIR
- Derrick HarmonDT · Not specifiedIR
- Donte KentCB · Not specifiedPUP
- Gennings DunkerG · Not specifiedIR
- Jack DriscollOT · Not specifiedIR
- Logan LeeDT · Not specifiedIR
- Michael PittmanWR · Not specifiedIR
- Roman WilsonWR · Not specifiedIR
- Sebastian Joseph-DayDT · tricepsIR
- DeShon ElliottSAF · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- Jalen RamseyCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (wrist)—
- Jamel DeanCB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Jaylen WarrenRB · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
- Keeanu BentonDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Pat FreiermuthTE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (calf)—
- Rico DowdleRB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (knee)Cleared
- Troy FautanuOT · Last listed Wk 2: Q (ankle)—
- Yahya BlackDE · Last listed Wk 4: Q—
CLE · Cleveland Browns
30 listed- Dillon GabrielQBOut last week
- Daniel ThomasSAF · ankleQuestionable
- Myles HardenCB · hamstringQuestionable
- Alex WrightDE · Not specifiedIR
- Damarri MathisDB · Not specifiedIR
- Edefuan UlofoshioLB · Not specifiedIR
- Elijah ChatmanDT · Not specifiedIR
- Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLB · Not specifiedPUP
- Joe RoyerTE · Not specifiedPUP
- Kalia DavisDT · quadricepIR
- Raheim SandersRB · Not specifiedIR
- Teven JenkinsG · backIR
- Bub MeansWRPractice squad
- John Saunders Jr.SAFInactive
- Audric EstiméRB · Last listed Wk 1: Out (thigh)—
- Carsen RyanTE · Last listed Wk 5: Out (calf)—
- Carson SchwesingerLB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Denzel WardCB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (hand)Cleared
- Derek BarnettDE · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Dylan SampsonRB · Last listed Wk 6: Out (knee)—
- Elgton JenkinsC · Last listed Wk 4: Out (concussion)—
- Grant DelpitSAF · Last listed Wk 3: Q (shoulder)—
- Mason GrahamDT · Last listed Wk 6: Q (knee, ankle)—
- Mike Hall Jr.DT · Last listed Wk 7: Out (ankle)Cleared
- Noah IgbinogheneCB · Last listed Wk 2: Q (hand)—
- Parker BrailsfordC · Last listed Wk 1: Q (thumb)—
- Quincy WilliamsLB · Last listed Wk 7: Q (neck)Cleared
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · Last listed Wk 6: Q (ankle)—
- Tylan WallaceWR · Last listed Wk 5: Out (knee)—
- Tyson CampbellCB · Last listed Wk 3: Q—
Form
What he has done, game by game, against lines like this one.
Recent output relative to line
Full season · every game against the selected line.
Rushing Yards, last 1
- Consensus line
- —
- yards
- Projection
- —
- Above the line
- —
- vs closing lines
- —
- no closing lines
- Median
- 0
- regular season
- Average
- 0
Distribution by time window
The same games cut four ways, against the line posted now and against the line each game actually closed at.
Windows
| Window | Median | Above % · vs current line | Above % · vs closing line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | — | —— | —— |
| Last 5 | — | —— | —— |
| Season | — | —— | —— |
| Last season | — | —— | —— |
Custom splits
Cut the same games by where they were played, who was on the field, and what the game was doing.
Cut the sample
- Games
- 1
- of 1
- Average
- 0
- yards
- Median
- 0
- yards
- Above the line
- —
- vs the full 1
- 0.0
- yards
Sample under 8 games, so treat it as directional.
| Week | Opponent | Rushing Yards | Line that week | Against it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs ATL | 0 | — | — |
Game log · season
Most recent first: his weekly output for this market.
Every game
| Week | Opponent | Carries | Rush yds | YPC | Long | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | @ NE | DNP | |||||
| Wk 1 | vs ATL | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | 0 |
Comparable players vs Cleveland
Other running backs who faced Cleveland this season, and how they did against their line.
running backs went over their line vs Cleveland
- Tony PollardTEN · Week 7Line 70.5129Rush ydsOver 70.5Over+58.5
- Derrick HenryBAL · Week 6Line 90.558Rush ydsUnder 90.5Under−32.5
- Justice HillBAL · Week 6Line 11.50Rush ydsUnder 11.5Under−11.5
- Braelon AllenNYJ · Week 5Line 71.5116Rush ydsOver 71.5Over+44.5
- Jaylen WarrenPIT · Week 4Line 75.593Rush ydsOver 75.5Over+17.5
- Chuba HubbardCAR · Week 3Line 70.582Rush ydsOver 70.5Over+11.5
- Bucky IrvingTB · Week 2Line 65.589Rush ydsOver 65.5Over+23.5
- Bhayshul TutenJAX · Week 1Line 44.566Rush ydsOver 44.5Over+21.5
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX · Week 1Line 37.523Rush ydsUnder 37.5Under−14.5
Matchup
The defense he faces and the game around him.
Opponent defense
How Cleveland Browns defends each position (fantasy points allowed per game, rank 1 = toughest) and what comparable roles have done against them.
How this defense handles the run
What Cleveland Browns actually allows to RBs, against the rest of the league. Rank 1 = toughest draw.
| Measure | Allowed | League avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries facedRushing volume this defence sees. | 22.4 | 22.1 | 18th of 32 |
| Rushing yards allowedPer game, to running backs. | 104 | 91.1 | 24th of 32 |
| Yards per carry allowedEfficiency conceded. | 4.6 | 4.1 | 29th of 32 |
| Runs stopped at or behind the lineShare of carries gaining nothing: the floor-killer for a rushing prop. | 22% | 17% | 4th of 32 |
| Runs of 10+ yards allowedShare of carries breaking 10 yards: where a rushing line's ceiling comes from. | 16% | 11% | 32nd of 32 |
| Loaded boxes (8+ defenders)Share of carries this defence met with a loaded box. | 22% | 23% | 14th of 32 |
By position
| Position | FP allowed / g | Rank1 = toughest |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 14.7 | 8th of 32 |
| RBhis position | 19.4 | 8th of 32 |
| WR | 31.8 | 19th of 32 |
| TE | 13.6 | 18th of 32 |
Similar players
| Player | Rush yds |
|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren2026 · Wk 4 | 93 |
| Braelon Allen2026 · Wk 5 | 116 |
| Chuba Hubbard2026 · Wk 3 | 82 |
| Ashton Jeanty2025 · Wk 12 | 50 |
| Christian McCaffrey2025 · Wk 13 | 53 |
Game context
The game the line sits inside. A total and a script set how many chances there are before any of his own rates matter.
- Game total
- 39.5
- combined
- PIT implied total
- 21.5
- favored
- CLE implied total
- 18
- underdog
- Projected script
- Neutral/Lead
- favored
- Pace
- 30.2s
- seconds / play
- Wind
- 3 mph
- Clouds
- Conditions
- 66°F
- outdoor · 0% precip
What the game projects
- Offensive play count
- 62.3
- 7-game avg
- Dropbacks
- 41.2
- 66% pass
- Red-zone trips
- 2.9
- 7-game avg
- Pass rate ± exp
- +2.9
- PROE
A yards prop is a rate times a volume. The rates live in Usage; this is the volume they act on: the offence’s per-game workload and his projected share of it.
Role
How much of the offense runs through him, and who is in or out around him.
Usage & opportunity
Roughly 70% of any prop outcome is opportunity, not efficiency. This is the section that predicts.
Share of the offence
Availability
Practice participation through the week.
His practice week
- Injury
- None reported
- Game status
- No designation
- Snap share, last game
- 4%
- Games missed this season
- 6
If Heidenreich sits
If a back sits, his carries usually split into two jobs rather than going to one player: early downs and the goal line, and passing downs.
Next up
Rico DowdleRB · 51% of the snaps
Where his work goes
No teammate stands out to take his work.
No games without him to measure, so this split is our estimate
All player props
Every line available this week, with how often he cleared it recently. Selecting one re-anchors the rest of the page.
Every market compared
| Market | Line | Projection | Diff | Cleared L5 | Opened | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 6% | Market only | — | 0 of 1 | 5% | +1% |
| 1st TD | 1% | Market only | — | 0 of 1 | 1% | level |
| Last TD | 2% | Market only | — | 0 of 1 | 2% | level |
| Rushing Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush Attempts | No line posted yet | |||||
| Rush + Rec Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receptions | No line posted yet | |||||
| Receiving Yards | No line posted yet | |||||
| 2+ TDs | No line posted yet | |||||
| Longest Rush | No line posted yet | |||||
What these figures mean
- Cleared L5
- How many of his last 5 games went over this line. It counts overs only.
- Since open
- How far the consensus line has moved since books first posted it this week.
How the line moved
No line has been posted for this market yet, so there is nothing to track. The open, every move and the reason for it will appear here once the market opens.
Moves with this
How the RB1's rushing tends to move with each teammate role, across the league.
- The QB's passing yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The TE1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 758 games−0.1
- The WR2's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games−0.1
- The WR1's receiving yardsroughly independent · 760 games0.0
A role-level tendency across the league: a general pattern for this role, not a measured link between these two specific players.
Prop odds
Over/under prices across the market for the selected line.
No sportsbook lines posted for this market yet.
Odds aggregated from licensed US sportsbooks via The Odds API, shown for research only. Nuvela does not accept bets and is not affiliated with any sportsbook.
About these numbers
Where the lines and the projection come from. The long version is on the methodology page.
- Where do Eli Heidenreich's prop lines come from?
- From The Odds API, which aggregates licensed US sportsbooks. Each of Eli Heidenreich's markets shows the consensus line and, book by book, the Over and Under price, plus how far the line has moved since the books first posted it. Nuvela is not a sportsbook and takes no wagers.
- How is Eli Heidenreich's projection made?
- The projection is the expected number for that stat this week, built from Eli Heidenreich's recent usage and output, the role on the team, the injury report and the game ahead. The label beside each line names the source of its projection, Nuvela or Tank01. A player ruled out gets no projection.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. This page is research: the line, the projection and the record behind each, laid side by side. The decision is yours. Nuvela takes no wagers, and the page is for adults of legal age in their state. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER and ncpgambling.org.
