nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 6 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Bears vs Falcons Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Oct 18 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions
Indoor · roof closed

The game in numbers

  • -5.8Pass rate over expected
  • 2ndPace rank, slate
  • DomeConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketProjectionGap
Bears26.5——
Falcons26.5——
Game total51.5——

Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

145 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props141

Bears · Away8 players

Questionable (hamstring)

RUSHING YARDS
18.5MARKET+10.5WIDE29.0Tank01 projection
Actual 3.0 · final resultRUSH ATTEMPTS
4.5MARKET+1.2WIDE5.7Tank01 projection
Actual 4.0 · final resultPASS ATTEMPTS
32.5MARKET+1.5In line with market34.0Tank01 projection
Actual 36.0 · final resultPASS + RUSH YARDS
250.5MARKET+6.5In line with market257.0Tank01 projection
Actual 308.0 · final resultCOMPLETIONS
19.5MARKET+0.5In line with market20.0Tank01 projection
Actual 30.0 · final resultPASSING YARDS
227.5MARKET+0.5In line with market228.0Tank01 projection
Actual 305.0 · final resultLONGEST COMPLETION
36.5MARKET—GAP— We don't have enough to project this market yet.—
Actual 25.0 · final result1ST TD
5%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
24%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
5%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultINTERCEPTIONS
0.5MARKET43%OVER · NO-VIG IMPLIED—MARKET ONLY
Actual 0.0 · final resultPASSING TDS
1.5MARKET55%OVER · NO-VIG IMPLIED—MARKET ONLY
Actual 1.0 · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 14 props

Falcons · Home7 players

Depth and touchdown only · 6 players · 16 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
51.5MARKET—GAP— Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
CHI by 1.5MARKET+0.8GAP0.7CHI by 0.7
Season range 6-31

Team props2

Bears · Away1 market

BearsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
26.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market

Falcons · Home1 market

FalconsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
26.5MARKET—GAPUnder review Projection unavailable—
Under review · Our total is more than 5 points from the market