nuvela.ai

NFL · WEEK 1 · SUNDAY · FINAL

Falcons vs Steelers Player Props

Kickoff
Sun, Sep 13 · 10:00 AM PT
Venue
Acrisure Stadium
Conditions
Outdoor · 77F, 4 mph wind

The game in numbers

  • —Pass rate over expected
  • —Pace rank, slate
  • OutdoorConditions

Research, not picks. A starting point to interrogate, never a recommendation.

WHERE THE GAP COMES FROM

TeamMarketNuvelaGap
Falcons16.519.8+3.3
Steelers23.524.7+1.2
Game total40.544.5+4.0

The Falcons carry 73% of the gap, so the disagreement is about their scoring rather than the game's.

EVERY PROP IN THIS GAME

Player, game and team props for this matchup. A reason to look closer, never a recommendation.

136 props · by largest gap vs typical error

Player props132

Falcons · Away6 players

PASSING YARDS
174.5MARKET+41.5WIDE216.0Tank01 projection
Actual 143.0 · final resultCOMPLETIONS
17.5MARKET+2.9WIDE20.4Tank01 projection
Actual 12.0 · final resultPASS ATTEMPTS
29.5MARKET+2.8MODERATE32.3Tank01 projection
Actual 22.0 · final resultLONGEST COMPLETION
29.5MARKET—GAP— We don't have enough to project this market yet.—
Actual 24.0 · final result1ST TD
1%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultANYTIME TD
5%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual Didn't score · final resultLAST TD
1%MARKET · IMPLIED, INCL. BOOK MARGIN—MARKET ONLY
Actual No · final resultINTERCEPTIONS
0.5MARKET59%OVER · NO-VIG IMPLIED—MARKET ONLY
Actual 2.0 · final resultPASSING TDS
0.5MARKET62%OVER · NO-VIG IMPLIED—MARKET ONLY
Actual 1.0 · final result
Depth and touchdown only · 5 players · 15 props

Steelers · Home8 players

Depth and touchdown only · 5 players · 15 props

Game props2

Game Total PointsCOMBINED SCORE
40.5MARKET+4.0GAP44.544.5
No season history yet
Expected MarginHANDICAP · DIFFERENT SCALE
PIT by 6.5MARKET+1.6GAP4.9PIT by 4.9
No season history yet

Team props2

Falcons · Away1 market

FalconsTEAM TOTAL POINTS
16.5MARKET+3.3GAP19.8Nuvela
No season history yet

Steelers · Home1 market

SteelersTEAM TOTAL POINTS
23.5MARKET+1.2GAP24.7Nuvela
No season history yet